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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 8, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Magic
117
9Hawks
110
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.3
43
32
28
13
6
0
1
1
1
4
9
6-8
75%
11-16
8-16
69%
50%
0-0
-
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.3
42
31
16
3
4
3
1
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
47%
3-7
43%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 22.0
41
29
20
4
7
3
1
1
2
0
4
2-4
50%
6-11
4-9
55%
44%
2-4
50%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.8
30
38
9
4
8
1
2
1
2
0
4
2-4
50%
2-7
4-10
29%
46%
1-5
20%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.4
28
30
12
10
3
1
1
1
1
2
8
3-3
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
50%
1-1
100%
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 21.0
32
19
14
9
3
0
0
0
3
0
9
0-0
-
4-6
2-3
67%
46%
2-8
25%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 29.9
22
14
14
0
1
2
0
4
1
0
0
0-0
-
7-11
2-5
64%
47%
0-0
-
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.6
13
9
2
3
5
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
39%
0-2
0%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 26.5
6
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 32.7
5
11
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-2
0%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.2
3
0
0-1
47%
Devyn Marble
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.4
2
0
0-0
41%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.6
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 31.0
42
31
22
13
6
4
2
1
6
3
10
3-6
50%
5-13
5-10
38%
52%
3-5
60%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 26.6
41
29
5
13
4
1
1
0
1
1
12
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
50%
1-4
25%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.7
39
32
27
6
3
0
1
2
0
0
6
2-2
100%
11-14
5-9
79%
55%
1-4
25%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 34.9
36
28
16
3
4
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
49%
4-6
67%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 27.7
34
30
21
3
5
1
1
0
3
1
2
4-7
57%
4-13
4-9
31%
48%
3-5
60%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 31.8
23
20
2
5
0
1
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
54%
0-0
-
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 22.4
19
16
6
1
6
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
3-7
3-6
43%
46%
0-2
0%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 24.6
14
12
4
2
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
55%
0-0
-
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 27.6
11
16
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
2-5
2-3
40%
54%
0-1
0%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 23.9
6
15
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 26.8
7
0
0-1
47%
Lamar Patterson
G-F · 6'5" 225 · 24.5
3
0
0-0
50%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.8
3
0
0-1
48%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 31.1
Edy Tavares
C · 7'3" 265 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.