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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 9, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs
119
20Heat
101
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.6
33
31
23
9
4
3
2
1
3
2
7
0-0
-
10-16
5-9
63%
53%
1-1
100%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.6
32
30
28
4
4
0
1
1
0
0
4
8-8
100%
10-16
6-13
63%
49%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.6
31
28
15
7
3
3
1
1
1
2
5
1-2
50%
4-6
1-3
67%
45%
2-4
50%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.7
28
25
7
2
5
2
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
3-10
4-8
30%
51%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.4
23
20
6
3
3
0
1
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.8
25
18
9
5
2
0
0
0
2
2
3
0-2
0%
3-6
2-4
50%
53%
1-2
50%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.4
23
18
10
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-1
0%
5-9
2-4
56%
50%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.5
16
20
8
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
2-3
67%
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
2-5
40%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.5
13
10
11
6
0
1
0
0
1
2
4
5-7
71%
3-5
2-3
60%
55%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.7
11
6
2
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
0-2
0%
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.7
5
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 39.8
22
1
3-6
50%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.4
16
1
2-4
48%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.8
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 31.9
35
32
18
5
2
1
1
0
7
0
5
6-6
100%
6-10
5-11
60%
49%
0-2
0%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.8
31
31
10
1
6
1
1
0
4
0
1
0-2
0%
5-9
4-8
56%
51%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 34.1
31
29
20
0
5
1
1
0
2
0
0
2-3
67%
9-12
7-15
75%
47%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.8
26
32
11
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
3-5
60%
1-2
3-7
50%
46%
2-5
40%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.2
13
17
2
8
2
0
0
2
0
0
8
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
51%
0-0
-
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.7
25
20
14
6
0
0
0
2
1
0
6
2-3
67%
6-9
3-6
67%
57%
0-0
-
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 19.9
24
29
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30.0
23
24
8
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
2-4
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.6
19
16
13
1
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3-3
100%
5-7
2-3
71%
47%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 28.9
11
5
2
3
2
2
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 22.1
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.4
4
0
0-1
40%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.7
2
0
0-0
45%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 23.8
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.