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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 9, 2016
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Rockets
110
1Warriors
123
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 26.5
40
35
37
5
5
3
1
1
1
0
5
11-13
85%
4-11
5-10
36%
46%
6-10
60%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 30.6
40
34
19
7
0
2
2
0
1
3
4
1-2
50%
3-6
2-5
50%
46%
4-7
57%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.2
34
30
16
15
2
0
1
1
4
4
11
2-10
20%
7-12
5-8
58%
56%
0-0
-
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.6
32
27
7
4
7
2
1
0
2
2
2
3-4
75%
2-5
2-4
40%
43%
0-2
0%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 29.9
28
27
9
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
1-5
20%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 28.7
25
14
15
1
3
1
0
1
2
0
1
4-4
100%
4-7
2-3
57%
44%
1-5
20%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 28.3
16
19
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 21.7
13
15
4
6
1
0
1
1
1
3
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 30.2
9
16
3
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 22.0
1
9
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 38.4
10
0
0-1
48%
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.0
2
0
0-0
41%
Sam Dekker
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.8
1
0
0-0
46%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 24.1
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 25.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.9
38
35
35
5
9
1
2
0
1
1
4
4-4
100%
5-8
5-9
63%
55%
7-16
44%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 26.0
35
33
13
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
5-12
5-9
42%
52%
0-7
0%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.7
32
33
19
7
2
0
1
0
1
3
4
1-1
100%
6-8
4-7
75%
51%
2-4
50%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.9
32
33
8
9
5
0
1
0
2
2
7
4-4
100%
2-3
4-7
67%
53%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 31.2
29
19
13
11
1
3
0
6
2
5
6
3-4
75%
5-10
2-4
50%
57%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.0
31
26
12
6
6
0
1
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
57%
2-4
50%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 30.4
16
15
4
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
54%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 33.2
13
15
4
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 28.5
12
15
15
4
0
0
0
0
2
0
4
4-5
80%
4-7
4-7
57%
48%
1-2
50%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 30.6
3
8
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.9
3
0
0-1
51%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 29.6
3
0
0-1
50%
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.0
2
0
0-0
54%
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 23.1
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.