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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 11, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Wizards57%10592
26Bucks43%10399
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.4
42
38
15
4
10
2
2
2
7
0
4
2-2
100%
2-7
7-14
29%
47%
3-12
25%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 30.6
39
28
6
7
3
0
1
2
1
1
6
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
52%
0-3
0%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 22.7
38
28
14
4
2
1
1
1
1
2
2
1-2
50%
5-10
3-6
50%
53%
1-5
20%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 22.6
37
28
19
3
5
0
1
1
2
0
3
5-5
100%
4-9
4-9
44%
47%
2-6
33%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.0
23
29
14
10
1
1
1
0
3
3
7
0-0
-
7-12
5-9
58%
55%
0-1
0%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.4
23
15
14
6
2
0
1
0
0
1
5
6-6
100%
4-8
3-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 29.8
16
30
3
3
0
2
1
0
0
1
2
1-3
33%
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.8
11
16
5
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
3-6
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 20.2
8
5
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 34.4
2
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-1
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 26.8
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Jarell Eddie
G-F · 6'7" 218 · 24.3
1
0
0-0
44%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.4
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 33.3
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 20.9
41
29
17
9
4
1
1
0
4
3
6
3-6
50%
7-11
5-9
64%
51%
0-0
-
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 24.5
40
37
27
6
9
5
1
0
2
2
4
8-9
89%
8-14
6-12
57%
47%
1-3
33%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 21.2
37
35
17
13
3
0
1
1
2
4
9
4-5
80%
5-14
6-11
36%
53%
1-2
50%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.3
20
15
2
1
1
1
1
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 27.4
15
16
4
6
1
0
0
1
2
1
5
0-1
0%
2-2
2-4
100%
53%
0-0
-
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 25.7
33
29
12
9
1
2
1
0
1
3
6
2-4
50%
5-13
7-13
38%
52%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.5
21
28
7
8
2
0
1
1
0
1
7
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
45%
1-4
25%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 24.3
20
26
5
5
3
1
1
0
4
1
4
3-4
75%
1-4
4-8
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Rashad Vaughn
G · 6'6" 202 · 19.5
14
13
8
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
41%
1-3
33%
Johnny O'Bryant III
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 22.7
6
0
1-2
45%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 25.1
5
0
1-2
56%
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 21.5
3
0
0-1
45%
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 31.9
1
0
0-0
43%
Damien Inglis
F · 6'8" 246 · 20.7
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 29.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.