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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 19, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Mavericks53%104104
23Magic47%103110
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.6
42
31
25
4
7
1
1
1
4
0
4
2-3
67%
4-9
3-8
44%
45%
5-9
56%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 32.0
40
31
11
19
2
3
1
0
4
4
15
5-8
63%
3-9
3-6
33%
47%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 37.7
39
31
11
3
1
1
1
1
1
0
3
1-3
33%
2-9
5-10
22%
48%
2-7
29%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.3
37
32
5
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
1-7
14%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.3
36
31
24
4
4
2
1
3
4
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
4-7
75%
52%
6-7
86%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 31.6
26
25
2
4
5
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
0-1
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.6
22
18
15
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
3-7
2-4
43%
45%
2-3
67%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 31.5
12
6
11
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
49%
3-6
50%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 29.7
5
5
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 24.6
4
11
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 22.3
2
12
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 28.3
5
0
1-1
56%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.1
5
0
1-2
55%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.0
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 33.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.3
42
35
9
6
8
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
50%
1-5
20%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.8
42
35
17
13
3
2
2
0
2
2
11
2-2
100%
3-9
4-9
33%
47%
3-9
33%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.3
35
35
21
13
3
1
1
2
4
3
10
5-5
100%
8-20
9-17
40%
52%
0-0
-
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 22.0
28
34
9
3
3
0
2
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
5-10
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.4
28
28
7
11
1
6
1
0
2
3
8
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
52%
1-2
50%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 26.4
25
21
18
3
4
0
1
0
2
1
2
4-4
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
42%
4-9
44%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.8
23
16
16
5
2
1
0
0
1
2
3
4-6
67%
3-7
2-3
43%
47%
2-4
50%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 30.0
18
16
11
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-9
3-6
44%
49%
1-1
100%
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 21.0
16
19
2
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
50%
0-2
0%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.8
8
6
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.6
8
0
1-1
41%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.2
8
0
1-2
49%
Devyn Marble
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.4
1
0
0-0
47%
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 24.7
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 26.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.