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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 19, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Pistons
86
12Wizards
98
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.5
36
34
9
6
3
0
1
0
2
2
4
0-1
0%
3-9
4-8
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 22.5
34
34
11
13
1
2
1
1
1
0
13
3-6
50%
4-9
7-13
44%
54%
0-1
0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.0
32
11
4
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-6
1-3
17%
49%
0-5
0%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 25.8
32
20
16
3
5
0
1
1
3
2
1
1-1
100%
6-15
4-7
40%
48%
1-3
33%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.7
18
26
6
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
2-5
40%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.6
30
29
21
4
0
0
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
8-10
3-7
80%
49%
1-2
50%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 19.7
22
33
5
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
4-8
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 36.0
16
10
5
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
42%
1-1
100%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.2
14
16
6
6
0
0
0
1
0
0
6
0-3
0%
3-3
3-5
100%
52%
0-0
-
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.9
2
21
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
2-5
100%
47%
0-0
-
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 24.9
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.5
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 22.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.5
35
35
22
8
8
1
2
1
2
0
8
4-4
100%
6-10
6-12
60%
46%
2-7
29%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 22.7
31
31
11
6
1
0
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
52%
3-4
75%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 29.8
30
28
2
4
4
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
0-2
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.0
29
28
15
9
2
0
1
2
1
4
5
3-4
75%
6-10
5-10
60%
55%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 30.6
26
33
10
6
4
1
1
2
1
2
4
4-6
67%
3-4
2-4
75%
51%
0-3
0%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 22.6
26
26
17
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-3
33%
5-6
4-8
83%
46%
2-4
50%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 26.5
22
32
6
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-6
5-12
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.9
17
19
9
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
3-8
2-5
38%
47%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.4
17
23
4
5
1
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-2
0%
2-5
4-8
40%
51%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 34.4
2
6
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 20.2
2
3
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Jarell Eddie
G-F · 6'7" 218 · 24.3
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 33.3
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.