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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 19, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Knicks59%10598
28Nets41%102109
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.3
39
37
17
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
4-9
60%
49%
3-4
75%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.7
38
35
22
7
6
3
1
1
2
2
5
4-4
100%
6-12
6-13
50%
48%
2-4
50%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 20.6
35
29
18
8
2
1
1
3
4
1
7
5-5
100%
5-10
4-9
50%
49%
1-5
20%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 27.9
31
28
10
7
0
0
0
0
0
3
4
2-2
100%
4-8
5-9
50%
54%
0-1
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 34.4
22
25
7
4
2
0
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-6
2-3
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 24.2
26
27
9
5
4
1
1
0
0
0
5
0-1
0%
3-4
2-5
75%
46%
1-4
25%
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 23.4
16
8
6
5
3
0
0
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.7
11
12
6
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
51%
2-3
67%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.8
11
16
0
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 25.9
7
4
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
1-1
100%
52%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 26.2
5
10
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 32.0
13
1
1-2
40%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 33.2
2
0
0-1
45%
Cleanthony Early
F · 6'8" 210 · 24.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 34.6
38
27
12
6
6
0
1
0
3
1
5
3-4
75%
3-5
2-5
60%
47%
1-4
25%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.7
38
31
13
9
5
2
1
0
0
1
8
1-2
50%
6-16
6-11
38%
52%
0-0
-
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 27.9
37
32
33
8
2
1
1
4
2
2
6
7-8
88%
13-23
7-14
57%
52%
0-0
-
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.1
30
24
14
10
4
2
1
1
1
1
9
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
2-2
100%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.2
26
24
11
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
45%
1-3
33%
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.8
24
20
16
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
51%
4-5
80%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.4
19
22
2
2
4
3
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-3
2-5
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 24.9
13
16
4
4
2
2
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Markel Brown
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.1
10
19
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
0-2
0%
Chris McCullough
F · 6'9" 215 · 21.0
6
10
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
0-0
-
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 22.3
6
0
0-1
50%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 25.8
3
0
0-1
53%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.3
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
F · 6'7" 214 · 21.1
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.