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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 19, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Heat
115
10Hawks
111
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.8
38
29
30
11
0
4
1
0
1
2
9
7-10
70%
10-14
3-6
71%
47%
1-3
33%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 19.9
37
26
13
9
0
2
1
0
2
3
6
3-4
75%
5-10
2-4
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30.1
37
24
14
5
2
2
1
1
3
1
4
1-3
33%
5-10
2-5
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.8
33
30
17
5
10
4
1
0
4
0
5
4-5
80%
5-10
4-8
50%
52%
1-4
25%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.3
19
15
6
6
1
0
0
0
1
2
4
2-4
50%
2-6
3-5
33%
52%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 29.0
30
8
19
6
10
0
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
5-8
1-1
63%
51%
3-5
60%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.4
20
4
7
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
43%
1-1
100%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.6
15
17
3
0
3
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-5
2-4
0%
48%
1-1
100%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.7
12
2
6
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-2
0-0
100%
46%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 34.1
30
1
7-15
48%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.7
22
0
4-6
59%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 23.8
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 31.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.7
38
31
14
5
3
1
1
2
1
1
4
5-5
100%
3-8
5-9
38%
55%
1-3
33%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 34.9
35
29
18
1
2
1
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
1-2
43%
49%
4-7
57%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 27.7
29
29
23
2
7
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
6-7
4-9
86%
47%
3-7
43%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 31.0
28
30
12
13
4
0
2
0
3
3
10
2-2
100%
2-8
5-9
25%
51%
2-5
40%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 26.6
23
29
7
4
1
2
1
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 27.6
25
16
13
6
2
0
0
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
53%
3-5
60%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 31.8
22
19
4
5
2
1
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
54%
0-2
0%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 22.4
21
17
16
3
6
1
1
1
5
1
2
2-2
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
46%
2-3
67%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 23.9
12
14
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-1
0%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 24.6
7
14
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
55%
0-0
-
Edy Tavares
C · 7'3" 265 · 23.9
3
0
0-1
53%
Lamar Patterson
G-F · 6'5" 225 · 24.5
3
0
0-0
48%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 31.1
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 35.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.