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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 20, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Wizards
94
19Heat
114
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.5
33
35
12
4
4
0
2
1
2
1
3
2-2
100%
5-14
5-12
36%
46%
0-3
0%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 22.7
32
31
7
7
0
1
1
1
0
1
6
1-2
50%
3-5
3-6
60%
52%
0-3
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.0
31
28
14
13
2
1
1
0
0
6
7
2-5
40%
6-12
5-9
50%
54%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 30.6
26
29
16
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
1-1
100%
6-8
2-4
75%
50%
1-4
25%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 29.8
17
29
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 22.6
29
26
19
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-4
25%
6-12
4-8
50%
46%
2-8
25%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.9
25
18
9
2
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
1-3
33%
4-10
2-5
40%
46%
0-0
-
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 26.5
21
23
5
4
1
2
1
1
1
2
2
1-2
50%
2-6
4-8
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.4
13
20
4
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
3-7
67%
50%
0-0
-
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 20.2
5
3
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 34.4
5
5
5
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
1-1
100%
2-2
0-1
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Jarell Eddie
G-F · 6'7" 218 · 24.3
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.4
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 33.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.8
35
35
27
10
4
1
1
0
0
4
6
5-5
100%
11-17
4-8
65%
49%
0-1
0%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.8
30
32
24
7
8
0
1
1
0
2
5
6-7
86%
9-17
4-8
53%
54%
0-3
0%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30.1
29
33
5
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
49%
1-3
33%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 19.9
26
34
14
6
1
0
1
0
2
3
3
2-5
40%
6-10
3-5
60%
51%
0-0
-
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.3
17
18
4
6
2
0
0
2
1
0
6
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
54%
0-0
-
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.4
35
17
5
6
3
0
1
3
0
0
6
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
45%
1-3
33%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.7
29
8
25
23
0
0
0
2
1
8
15
3-7
43%
11-15
1-2
73%
61%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 29.0
19
25
3
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-5
2-4
20%
53%
0-1
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.6
18
15
7
4
2
0
0
0
3
1
3
1-2
50%
3-6
2-3
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.7
2
10
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 34.1
10
0
3-5
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 31.9
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.