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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 21, 2016
3:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Pelicans42%104111
18Pistons58%107106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 22.9
43.4
35.8
59
77%
20
4
0
1
1
2
6
14
9-10
90%
22-32
9-17
69%
52%
2-2
100%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.8
23.7
29.2
4
34%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
0-2
0%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.4
21.1
26.5
5
43%
2
3
0
1
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
2-4
4-9
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Bryce Dejean-Jones
G · 6'6" 203 · 23.5
20.6
17.5
5
83%
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
1-2
50%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.6
7.2
18.8
5
64%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
2-3
67%
52%
0-0
-
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 25.7
32.3
31.4
20
56%
7
9
0
1
0
5
2
5
8-9
89%
6-10
6-13
60%
47%
0-4
0%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 28.7
26.8
18.3
0
0%
4
2
0
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 27.8
24.9
26.7
6
22%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
4-4
100%
1-6
3-8
17%
46%
0-6
0%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 29.9
22.6
17.6
3
38%
2
1
2
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
1-3
33%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 27.8
10.3
11.2
4
33%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-3
33%
52%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 31.3
7.2
2.2
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.2
21.0
1
1-3
44%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.7
3.0
0
0-0
44%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.0
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 22.5
35.4
32.7
21
60%
14
1
2
1
3
0
7
7
3-10
30%
9-13
7-12
69%
55%
0-0
-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.0
34.1
28.8
14
41%
3
0
4
1
0
2
1
2
4-5
80%
2-7
3-7
29%
49%
2-8
25%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.5
33.8
34.0
2
14%
4
3
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
49%
0-3
0%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 25.9
31.2
29.1
34
72%
4
4
0
1
0
1
2
2
8-8
100%
7-13
5-11
54%
49%
4-7
57%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.7
7.8
19.4
3
50%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
1-3
33%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.6
35.4
28.9
16
44%
5
2
1
1
2
1
0
5
2-3
67%
4-11
4-7
36%
51%
2-6
33%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 19.7
21.8
24.1
6
51%
8
2
0
1
0
2
1
7
1-2
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
1-1
100%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 36.0
16.8
14.7
3
50%
1
5
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
1-3
33%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.2
12.7
14.3
4
42%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
2-4
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
53%
0-0
-
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.9
11.2
6.2
3
50%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
1-2
50%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 24.9
2.5
0
0-0
43%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.5
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 22.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.