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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 21, 2016
5:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Celtics59%108121
24Nuggets41%105101
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.2
32
34
20
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
5-7
4-7
71%
49%
3-8
38%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 27.0
32
31
22
3
12
2
1
1
3
0
3
5-5
100%
4-9
5-11
44%
48%
3-7
43%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 25.6
31
33
13
4
3
3
2
0
2
0
4
4-5
80%
3-6
3-6
50%
53%
1-4
25%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 24.0
23
27
16
11
5
0
1
0
1
2
9
2-3
67%
7-11
5-10
64%
49%
0-1
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 28.8
18
17
6
5
1
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
60%
0-1
0%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 22.0
32
23
10
2
2
4
1
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
2-7
29%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 27.3
27
25
17
9
5
1
1
0
4
1
8
4-4
100%
5-6
4-7
83%
47%
1-2
50%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 29.0
20
16
6
6
2
0
1
1
1
5
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
46%
0-0
-
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.1
15
16
9
4
0
1
0
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
4-9
3-6
44%
53%
0-0
-
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 21.9
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-1
0%
RJ Hunter
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.3
3
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-1
0%
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 21.6
3
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
49%
0-0
-
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 20.5
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 24.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.4
38
37
14
1
2
3
2
0
3
0
1
2-3
67%
6-10
3-7
60%
51%
0-4
0%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.5
31
36
17
3
2
1
1
0
2
0
3
7-10
70%
5-10
4-9
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.0
31
30
18
5
3
2
1
0
4
1
4
6-6
100%
3-5
4-9
60%
40%
2-4
50%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.0
30
8
23
13
4
2
0
0
4
3
10
2-2
100%
9-13
1-3
69%
52%
1-2
50%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.3
13
23
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
4-8
-
53%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25.1
31
28
10
5
3
2
1
1
3
0
5
5-7
71%
1-7
4-9
14%
49%
1-5
20%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 28.3
30
16
13
3
4
0
0
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
2-3
1-2
67%
40%
2-5
40%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.9
12
16
2
1
0
0
1
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 21.5
12
14
4
2
0
1
1
1
4
2
0
2-2
100%
1-1
3-6
100%
44%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.0
9
2
0
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
40%
0-0
-
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.4
2
22
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-7
-
51%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 34.0
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.