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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 21, 2016
5:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs
118
28Suns
111
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.6
34
30
19
10
1
1
1
1
1
2
8
1-1
100%
9-13
7-13
69%
50%
0-1
0%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.7
34
24
11
7
2
2
1
2
1
1
6
2-4
50%
3-3
1-3
100%
47%
1-2
50%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.4
29
26
5
3
2
1
1
1
3
2
1
1-2
50%
2-4
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.8
27
28
22
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
5-8
63%
7-16
5-10
44%
52%
1-2
50%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 39.8
17
23
6
3
2
1
1
1
0
0
3
4-6
67%
1-5
3-7
20%
52%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.8
26
17
12
6
0
3
0
1
1
1
5
1-3
33%
4-6
1-2
67%
48%
1-1
100%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.9
23
16
9
3
4
0
0
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
55%
1-1
100%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.5
23
25
21
3
5
0
1
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
0-4
3-5
0%
50%
6-9
67%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.5
14
15
6
3
2
2
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
53%
0-0
-
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.4
11
18
7
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
5-6
83%
1-2
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.7
3
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.6
11
1
2-4
54%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.5
5
0
1-2
58%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.9
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 30.8
30
34
7
5
1
1
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
45%
1-2
50%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 22.7
24
7
23
13
0
0
0
0
3
5
8
5-5
100%
9-15
1-2
60%
46%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.0
24
18
7
3
4
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Devin Booker
G · 6'6" 210 · 19.3
24
31
10
4
6
0
1
0
1
1
3
3-3
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
45%
1-2
50%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 32.7
20
20
11
1
3
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
1-2
57%
38%
1-1
100%
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 30.4
29
30
14
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
3
1-1
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
45%
3-8
38%
Phil Pressey
G · 5'11" 175 · 25.0
28
10
6
2
6
1
1
3
4
1
1
2-5
40%
2-4
1-2
50%
37%
0-2
0%
Archie Goodwin
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.5
24
30
14
7
1
0
1
0
2
3
4
3-4
75%
4-10
4-9
40%
44%
1-4
25%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 26.8
18
18
13
7
2
1
0
1
0
0
7
2-2
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
48%
1-1
100%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 29.6
18
15
6
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
3-5
1-3
60%
45%
0-1
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 33.4
11
0
1-2
57%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 24.2
11
0
2-3
44%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 26.8
TJ Warren
F · 6'8" 215 · 22.5
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 26.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.