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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 21, 2016
6:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Grizzlies36%9885
6Raptors64%10398
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.6
36
32
18
6
2
0
1
0
1
1
5
4-4
100%
7-13
6-13
54%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.4
35
35
8
5
4
0
1
0
1
1
4
4-5
80%
2-8
5-10
25%
46%
0-4
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 36.0
31
29
1
7
2
0
1
2
3
1
6
1-2
50%
0-1
2-3
0%
51%
0-5
0%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 25.7
20
26
4
6
0
1
1
0
0
2
4
0-1
0%
2-4
3-6
50%
50%
0-1
0%
PJ Hairston
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23.2
16
8
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
40%
0-2
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 39.1
31
23
16
7
1
2
1
0
1
2
5
6-7
86%
2-4
1-3
50%
42%
2-4
50%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 25.5
22
17
16
3
2
1
0
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
6-10
1-3
60%
46%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.4
21
15
2
2
1
0
0
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
60%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.8
19
24
17
4
0
2
1
0
1
2
2
6-7
86%
4-11
2-5
36%
47%
1-4
25%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.6
9
6
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
56%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 34.1
16
1
2-3
47%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 25.6
3
0
0-0
45%
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 21.7
2
0
0-0
48%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 31.1
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 21.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 29.9
40
36
18
4
7
1
2
0
2
0
4
4-5
80%
4-7
4-8
57%
47%
2-6
33%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 26.5
36
38
21
5
3
0
1
0
4
1
4
9-10
90%
6-16
8-17
38%
47%
0-0
-
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.8
31
30
10
12
1
1
0
1
1
3
9
2-2
100%
4-7
6-10
57%
57%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 35.8
18
15
7
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
48%
0-4
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.0
15
15
3
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-3
2-3
33%
56%
0-3
0%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 26.9
30
27
11
8
0
0
1
0
0
1
7
5-6
83%
0-2
1-3
0%
53%
2-6
33%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 25.0
27
24
9
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
3-3
2-4
100%
49%
1-5
20%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
26
27
14
4
0
0
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
3-5
4-7
60%
52%
2-3
67%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 23.5
17
16
5
9
0
1
0
1
2
2
7
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
53%
0-1
0%
Anthony Bennett
F · 6'8" 245 · 22.9
4
0
0-1
44%
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 22.7
4
0
0-1
47%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 23.6
2
0
0-0
54%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.8
1
0
0-0
45%
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 20.4
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 29.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.