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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 21, 2016
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Jazz49%100111
15Trail Blazers51%101115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 25.9
37.7
34.4
21
60%
5
3
4
1
0
2
0
5
9-10
90%
3-10
5-10
30%
48%
2-3
67%
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 23.7
35.8
30.8
7
36%
8
2
0
1
5
3
4
4
1-4
25%
3-8
4-6
38%
59%
0-0
-
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 24.6
33.9
28.4
22
62%
8
1
0
1
1
1
5
3
4-4
100%
9-16
6-11
56%
52%
0-0
-
Rodney Hood
G · 6'8" 206 · 23.3
32.9
30.5
18
56%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
6-11
3-7
55%
48%
2-5
40%
Raul Neto
G · 6'1" 179 · 23.8
10.1
24.9
4
67%
1
0
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
45%
0-0
-
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.8
24.5
2.5
16
67%
3
6
0
0
1
1
0
3
1-2
50%
6-8
0-1
75%
46%
1-3
33%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.2
21.2
19.9
8
48%
5
2
1
1
0
0
1
4
2-3
67%
3-7
2-4
43%
52%
0-0
-
Chris Johnson
F · 6'6" 206 · 25.8
18.6
19.5
4
67%
2
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 23.3
13.4
17.6
6
43%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
44%
2-3
67%
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 28.4
7.0
12.8
5
125%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
1-1
100%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 20.3
4.8
10.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 26.0
4.8
0
1-1
53%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 24.6
Dante Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 20.6
Tibor Pleiss
C · 7'3" 256 · 26.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.6
37.4
31.1
30
60%
4
5
0
1
0
3
1
3
6-9
67%
6-9
5-10
67%
48%
4-12
33%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.4
37.3
31.0
31
66%
1
3
1
1
1
1
0
1
5-6
83%
7-15
5-11
47%
48%
4-6
67%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 26.0
29.5
19.5
9
42%
9
6
2
1
1
1
3
6
3-6
50%
3-8
3-5
38%
55%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.4
28.1
25.2
2
20%
6
3
1
1
2
0
3
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 20.5
15.9
19.4
5
36%
8
0
0
1
0
3
7
1
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
49%
1-1
100%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.8
25.1
23.5
17
66%
7
1
1
1
0
0
6
1
6-9
67%
4-6
2-4
67%
55%
1-3
33%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 28.2
21.7
24.7
4
29%
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
46%
0-2
0%
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.9
19.7
25.1
3
25%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-3
3-5
0%
53%
1-3
33%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.7
18.6
16.5
11
83%
5
1
1
0
1
2
2
3
3-6
50%
4-4
2-3
100%
58%
0-0
-
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.0
6.7
8.5
3
50%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
55%
1-2
50%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 30.2
5.2
0
1-1
44%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 33.8
4.5
0
1-2
48%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.1
3.5
0
0-1
44%
Luis Montero
· 6'7" 185 · 22.9
Cliff Alexander
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.