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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 22, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Pacers53%9893
25Heat47%97101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.8
42.0
34.4
31
57%
11
4
3
2
0
3
0
11
5-7
71%
7-17
4-10
41%
44%
4-7
57%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.3
40.8
36.4
7
19%
4
3
1
2
1
0
1
3
3-4
75%
2-13
4-9
15%
48%
0-4
0%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 29.8
36.5
34.1
1
6%
4
3
1
1
0
3
0
4
1-2
50%
0-5
3-6
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.3
30.6
31.0
11
65%
6
1
1
1
2
1
2
4
5-8
63%
3-5
4-7
60%
55%
0-0
-
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 19.9
30.5
30.7
16
62%
5
1
0
1
2
0
2
3
0-0
-
8-13
6-11
62%
51%
0-0
-
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 28.6
22.2
15.2
6
28%
3
1
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-2
0%
3-10
3-5
30%
49%
0-0
-
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 27.0
22.0
16.0
8
103%
7
0
0
0
0
1
1
6
2-2
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
48%
0-0
-
Joe Young
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.7
17.2
9.0
10
56%
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
5-8
1-2
63%
43%
0-1
0%
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.9
16.7
13.7
0
0%
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 27.8
6.7
5.5
3
75%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
1-1
100%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 28.9
10.7
0
1-2
46%
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 22.1
3.9
0
0-1
45%
Shayne Whittington
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 24.9
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.8
Rakeem Christmas
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.8
40.8
30.0
24
61%
8
5
0
1
0
2
4
4
3-6
50%
9-15
5-8
60%
53%
1-2
50%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 34.1
39.2
9.1
16
32%
5
3
1
0
1
5
1
4
8-10
80%
4-19
2-5
21%
50%
0-2
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.9
37.3
33.7
13
32%
16
1
0
1
0
1
5
11
3-5
60%
5-15
4-8
33%
49%
0-3
0%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30.1
18.4
29.8
0
0%
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.3
11.8
16.7
4
67%
5
1
0
0
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
53%
0-0
-
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.7
41.1
19.1
19
51%
18
1
0
0
6
1
6
12
3-4
75%
8-17
4-6
47%
60%
0-0
-
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 19.9
39.7
29.1
15
59%
7
4
4
1
0
0
3
4
5-6
83%
5-9
2-5
56%
50%
0-1
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 29.0
21.9
21.4
10
54%
6
3
2
1
0
2
0
6
1-3
33%
3-5
2-3
60%
52%
1-3
33%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.4
8.6
24.5
0
0%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.6
6.2
16.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
49%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.7
6.2
0
1-1
47%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 31.9
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.