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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 22, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Raptors52%105122
23Knicks48%10495
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 29.9
35
37
22
11
11
0
2
0
2
4
7
6-6
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
46%
2-4
50%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 26.5
32
36
22
3
2
3
1
0
0
0
3
5-7
71%
7-14
7-16
50%
45%
1-3
33%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.0
27
15
12
2
1
0
1
2
0
0
2
3-3
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
54%
1-2
50%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.8
25
30
20
6
0
0
0
3
2
1
5
2-2
100%
9-14
6-10
64%
55%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 35.8
20
17
4
6
3
1
0
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
0-3
0%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 26.9
26
28
5
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
51%
1-1
100%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
25
26
13
1
6
2
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
3-6
3-7
50%
51%
2-3
67%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 25.0
21
26
12
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
4-8
50%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 23.5
19
16
10
9
1
0
0
1
0
5
4
2-5
40%
4-4
1-2
100%
53%
0-0
-
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 23.6
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
52%
0-0
-
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.8
3
1
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
46%
0-0
-
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 22.7
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Anthony Bennett
F · 6'8" 245 · 22.9
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 20.4
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 29.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.7
37
37
23
11
5
0
1
0
3
1
10
6-10
60%
7-15
7-14
47%
48%
1-2
50%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.4
33
37
7
5
2
0
1
1
0
1
4
1-1
100%
3-9
4-8
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 20.6
33
22
17
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
5-8
3-7
63%
48%
2-6
33%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 27.9
28
32
21
13
0
1
0
0
0
7
6
1-1
100%
10-14
5-10
71%
54%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 34.4
19
27
0
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 24.2
25
24
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.8
21
19
9
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.7
14
11
6
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
2-4
50%
2-2
2-3
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 23.4
12
8
9
1
4
0
0
1
1
1
0
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
1-2
50%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 25.9
9
8
0
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-2
0%
0-3
1-2
0%
52%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 32.0
6
6
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
39%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.0
2
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
1-1
100%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 26.2
4
0
1-1
48%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 33.2
Cleanthony Early
F · 6'8" 210 · 24.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.