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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 23, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Magic
124
3076ers
115
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.3
43
34
21
3
4
2
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
5-8
3-7
63%
50%
3-5
60%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.8
41
38
22
4
4
3
2
0
3
2
2
9-9
100%
5-9
5-10
56%
48%
1-3
33%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.3
37
33
35
9
4
0
1
1
1
3
6
9-9
100%
13-21
8-16
62%
52%
0-0
-
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.4
30
27
11
11
3
3
1
1
2
2
9
3-6
50%
4-9
3-6
44%
52%
0-1
0%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 22.0
20
24
3
1
8
0
1
0
0
1
0
3-6
50%
0-3
3-7
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.8
19
19
10
8
0
0
1
0
0
3
5
4-4
100%
0-4
2-5
0%
48%
2-3
67%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.9
19
11
3
5
0
2
1
0
2
1
4
1-1
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
0-0
-
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 21.0
11
12
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
1-1
100%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 26.4
11
23
6
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 30.0
10
14
8
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
4-8
3-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.2
3
0
0-1
50%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 26.5
2
0
0-1
53%
Devyn Marble
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.4
1
0
0-0
44%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 21.9
32
25
16
11
4
2
1
1
2
3
8
4-6
67%
6-9
3-7
67%
51%
0-0
-
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.2
27
24
12
4
1
1
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
46%
2-5
40%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 27.6
27
27
22
1
5
0
1
0
2
0
1
6-8
75%
5-12
5-11
42%
43%
2-3
67%
Jahlil Okafor
C · 6'11" 260 · 20.2
26
27
17
2
0
0
0
2
4
1
1
1-2
50%
8-13
7-13
62%
51%
0-0
-
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.4
24
22
5
2
2
1
1
0
4
1
1
0-1
0%
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 24.9
29
24
14
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
3-3
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
3-6
50%
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.0
27
26
7
7
2
0
1
1
3
0
7
1-2
50%
3-4
2-5
75%
49%
0-1
0%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 24.8
20
24
12
4
0
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
39%
2-3
67%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.9
17
13
8
0
4
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
4-6
2-3
67%
49%
0-0
-
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.4
7
9
2
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
55%
0-0
-
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.5
4
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 32.4
7
0
1-2
52%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 37.0
2
0
0-0
48%
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.