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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 23, 2016
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Rockets40%100114
14Jazz60%103117
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 26.5
44
33
42
5
4
2
1
0
5
1
4
8-10
80%
14-23
4-9
61%
48%
2-7
29%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 30.7
41
32
18
1
4
4
2
0
1
1
0
4-4
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
4-7
57%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.2
40
30
13
16
1
1
1
3
2
5
11
7-14
50%
3-6
5-8
50%
58%
0-1
0%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.6
37
28
14
3
4
3
1
0
2
1
2
6-6
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
2-5
40%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 30.2
19
20
8
2
0
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
45%
2-4
50%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 30.0
22
22
2
2
0
3
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
0-3
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 38.4
21
11
8
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
3-3
100%
1-3
0-1
33%
48%
1-6
17%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 28.3
16
18
4
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 21.8
13
17
2
4
2
0
1
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
54%
0-0
-
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 24.1
12
13
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
2-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.0
0
9
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 22.1
10
0
1-2
51%
Sam Dekker
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.8
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 25.4
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 28.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 25.9
40
35
28
7
5
1
1
0
2
3
4
13-15
87%
3-3
5-10
100%
49%
3-4
75%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 24.6
40
30
19
12
2
2
1
3
3
5
7
5-5
100%
7-13
7-13
54%
54%
0-0
-
Rodney Hood
G · 6'8" 206 · 23.3
36
31
18
4
5
5
1
0
2
0
4
3-4
75%
3-4
4-8
75%
49%
3-6
50%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.8
32
20
17
1
2
1
1
0
6
0
1
6-8
75%
4-7
3-6
57%
49%
1-4
25%
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 23.7
26
32
2
3
1
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-4
50%
0-3
4-7
0%
60%
0-0
-
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 23.3
29
16
15
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
46%
3-6
50%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'6" 206 · 25.8
19
19
4
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
52%
0-1
0%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 20.3
17
8
8
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
49%
0-0
-
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.2
12
20
6
6
2
0
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Raul Neto
G · 6'1" 179 · 23.8
8
18
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 28.4
7
10
0
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-1
0%
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 26.0
3
0
0-1
55%
Tibor Pleiss
C · 7'3" 256 · 26.3
2
0
0-1
56%
Dante Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 20.6
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 24.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.