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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 24, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Hornets28%100103
3Cavaliers72%108114
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 25.8
36
37
20
2
6
1
2
0
3
0
2
3-3
100%
4-7
5-11
57%
44%
3-6
50%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 27.2
33
35
9
5
6
1
1
1
3
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
48%
1-4
25%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.4
30
16
8
5
2
1
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
4-4
1-2
100%
47%
0-3
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 29.7
25
28
9
10
2
2
1
0
2
0
10
4-4
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
48%
1-5
20%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 23.4
23
24
7
6
0
0
1
0
1
3
3
1-2
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.5
25
26
10
1
4
0
1
0
2
1
0
1-3
33%
3-7
3-7
43%
45%
1-2
50%
Frank Kaminsky
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 22.9
23
20
16
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
3-4
75%
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
3-6
50%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 31.1
21
19
12
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
2-3
67%
5-9
4-8
56%
48%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.7
9
18
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
0-1
2-5
0%
50%
0-2
0%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 30.3
4
5
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-4
50%
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Jorge Gutierrez
G · 6'3" 189 · 27.2
4
4
4
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 24.6
4
3
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
42%
1-1
100%
Aaron Harrison
G · 6'6" 210 · 21.3
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 22.4
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 27.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.5
34
34
16
5
2
3
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
46%
2-3
67%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 23.9
32
27
23
6
5
1
1
1
1
3
3
2-4
50%
9-13
5-10
69%
50%
1-4
25%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 31.2
30
36
23
7
7
2
1
0
2
1
6
5-8
63%
6-9
8-15
67%
55%
2-4
50%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 27.5
26
33
8
2
2
2
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-8
4-7
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 25.0
23
28
6
10
2
0
0
0
1
4
6
0-0
-
3-6
3-5
50%
55%
0-0
-
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.5
26
25
10
1
7
1
1
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
41%
3-6
50%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 29.6
25
18
6
9
0
1
0
0
1
3
6
0-0
-
3-8
3-5
38%
55%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 35.7
20
18
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 32.8
18
9
15
6
1
1
0
0
0
0
6
1-2
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
4-8
50%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 33.2
4
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-2
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.4
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-1
0%
Sasha Kaun
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.8
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-0
-
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 25.7
10
0
1-1
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.