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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 24, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3076ers20%9791
20Pistons80%109111
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 27.6
26
26
4
4
3
4
1
0
1
2
2
0-2
0%
2-9
4-11
22%
41%
0-0
-
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.4
25
23
3
4
4
0
1
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
1-6
1-2
17%
43%
0-1
0%
Jahlil Okafor
C · 6'11" 260 · 20.2
24
26
13
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
5-9
6-13
56%
49%
1-1
100%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.2
21
26
8
3
0
0
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
44%
2-9
22%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 21.9
20
28
3
4
0
2
2
3
1
2
2
1-1
100%
1-6
4-8
17%
49%
0-0
-
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 24.9
32
26
19
4
0
1
1
0
1
2
2
2-3
67%
4-7
2-4
57%
43%
3-4
75%
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.0
24
26
9
4
2
0
1
0
2
2
2
5-6
83%
2-5
2-5
40%
47%
0-0
-
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.5
22
7
12
1
4
0
0
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
3-5
0-1
60%
41%
1-3
33%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 24.8
18
22
6
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-4
50%
2-5
1-3
40%
38%
0-3
0%
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.4
18
8
4
7
2
0
0
1
1
2
5
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 32.4
10
4
10
5
2
0
0
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
4-4
1-1
100%
50%
0-1
0%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.9
15
1
2-4
47%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 37.0
2
0
0-0
45%
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.5
32
35
13
4
8
3
1
0
1
0
4
3-4
75%
2-8
4-8
25%
51%
2-6
33%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.6
30
32
22
8
2
0
1
0
1
1
7
3-4
75%
8-10
4-8
80%
53%
1-2
50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.0
30
33
11
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
4-8
50%
51%
2-3
67%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 22.5
27
34
12
18
0
0
1
1
2
4
14
4-8
50%
4-7
7-12
57%
56%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 25.9
26
30
17
3
5
2
1
0
5
0
3
6-6
100%
4-7
6-11
57%
51%
1-4
25%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 24.9
26
1
16
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
3-4
0-0
75%
42%
3-5
60%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 36.0
22
15
4
2
5
0
0
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
45%
1-3
33%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.2
20
13
9
7
1
2
0
0
0
4
3
1-3
33%
4-8
2-4
50%
55%
0-0
-
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.9
18
10
6
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
4
1-2
50%
1-6
1-2
17%
50%
1-4
25%
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.5
5
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 33.5
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-0
-
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 19.7
22
1
3-5
49%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.7
9
0
0-0
51%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 22.9
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.