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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 24, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Warriors75%108118
21Heat25%99112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.0
35.9
35.0
10
54%
11
3
0
1
1
3
2
9
4-5
80%
3-5
3-7
60%
51%
0-2
0%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.9
35.6
32.9
42
65%
7
7
1
2
1
7
3
4
8-8
100%
8-17
4-8
47%
53%
6-12
50%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 26.0
33.9
34.5
33
63%
3
0
4
1
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
9-17
5-10
53%
49%
4-8
50%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 31.2
29.5
19.3
2
33%
9
3
0
0
0
0
1
8
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
55%
0-0
-
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.7
27.5
28.8
11
67%
5
1
1
1
0
1
3
2
3-5
60%
1-3
3-6
33%
49%
2-3
67%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.1
28.2
24.9
7
70%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
54%
1-2
50%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 30.5
17.4
17.1
4
29%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
52%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 33.2
14.1
13.5
6
60%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
48%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.4
10.1
4.2
1
17%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
0-2
1-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 30.6
7.8
14.5
2
53%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-1
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 28.6
9.9
0
2-5
45%
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.0
3.4
0
0-1
46%
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.0
3.3
0
0-1
49%
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 23.1
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.9
35.6
32.8
16
43%
11
3
1
1
1
0
3
8
5-8
63%
4-11
4-9
36%
47%
1-4
25%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.8
33.8
32.3
13
36%
2
7
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
4-12
5-10
33%
52%
1-5
20%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 19.9
32.7
31.5
8
57%
10
2
3
1
2
2
4
6
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
50%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 34.1
32.6
22.0
32
64%
3
7
1
1
1
4
1
2
10-11
91%
11-20
5-11
55%
48%
0-0
-
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.3
5.7
13.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
52%
0-0
-
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.7
31.9
27.3
21
80%
13
0
1
1
2
2
2
11
5-5
100%
8-11
5-9
73%
59%
0-0
-
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.4
28.6
16.8
15
109%
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
42%
3-3
100%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30.1
24.8
23.4
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
47%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 29.0
14.3
20.3
7
38%
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
2-3
67%
1-6
2-3
17%
51%
1-2
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.6
11.3
0
1-3
48%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.7
4.1
0
0-1
45%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 23.8
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 31.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.