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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 24, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Wizards49%104104
26Bulls51%105109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.5
31.7
32.6
16
47%
4
7
3
2
0
1
0
4
3-5
60%
5-11
5-12
45%
45%
1-4
25%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.0
27.4
29.0
8
57%
8
0
0
1
1
0
4
4
0-0
-
4-7
6-10
57%
54%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 29.8
26.0
24.0
18
65%
2
1
1
1
0
2
1
1
2-4
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
4-8
50%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 30.6
19.6
26.9
5
36%
4
2
2
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
1-5
20%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 22.7
16.9
28.5
2
33%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
52%
0-0
-
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 22.7
34.4
26.2
19
44%
2
2
1
1
0
3
0
2
5-6
83%
7-13
4-8
54%
46%
0-6
0%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 26.5
28.4
21.3
5
29%
10
1
1
1
1
1
1
9
3-4
75%
1-7
3-7
14%
45%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.4
20.6
16.6
6
51%
5
2
3
1
2
0
2
3
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
50%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.9
18.6
22.4
16
63%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
5-9
3-6
56%
46%
1-2
50%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 33.4
16.5
11.9
9
101%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
2-3
67%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 20.2
6.3
0
1-1
46%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 34.4
4.0
0
0-1
43%
Jarell Eddie
G-F · 6'7" 218 · 24.3
2.8
0
0-0
44%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 24.3
33.6
14.8
16
73%
4
3
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
46%
4-5
80%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 35.6
31.9
32.5
10
74%
15
9
1
1
0
3
1
14
4-4
100%
3-4
6-13
75%
50%
0-1
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.7
29.8
27.7
17
67%
7
7
2
1
0
1
3
4
5-6
83%
6-10
4-7
60%
51%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 27.0
29.1
33.3
17
53%
3
1
2
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
7-13
4-7
54%
50%
1-3
33%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 35.4
28.1
21.4
14
78%
4
1
0
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
46%
2-4
50%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 24.1
28.6
24.3
14
59%
5
2
0
0
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
6-9
2-5
67%
49%
0-2
0%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 31.1
19.8
15.7
11
35%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
5-10
2-4
50%
44%
0-5
0%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 21.0
19.7
23.5
5
28%
7
0
0
1
0
4
1
6
1-2
50%
2-7
4-9
29%
50%
0-1
0%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 23.6
12.3
6.4
2
100%
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 26.9
6.9
1.8
3
75%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
1-2
50%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.4
30.9
1
7-15
48%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 26.4
10.0
0
2-4
50%
Cameron Bairstow
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.2
3.0
0
0-1
48%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 25.0
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 31.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.