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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 24, 2016
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Nuggets19%9987
4Clippers81%11181
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.5
36
34
16
8
2
1
1
0
2
1
7
3-6
50%
5-11
4-9
45%
43%
1-4
25%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.0
30
28
4
5
6
1
1
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
1-10
3-8
10%
38%
0-2
0%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.4
29
30
17
5
1
3
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
4-10
3-6
40%
49%
3-4
75%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.0
26
20
7
11
3
1
1
1
3
4
7
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
51%
1-4
25%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.3
23
20
21
11
1
1
0
0
0
6
5
1-1
100%
10-15
4-7
67%
52%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25.1
26
28
4
6
2
2
1
1
5
0
6
2-2
100%
1-5
4-9
20%
47%
0-1
0%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.4
22
17
12
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
6
4-4
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
49%
0-1
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.9
19
19
0
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
44%
0-3
0%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 28.3
18
22
3
0
2
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
39%
1-5
20%
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 22.9
12
12
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 34.0
12
0
1-2
44%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 21.5
8
0
1-3
42%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.0
4
0
0-0
46%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.6
37
31
7
12
1
1
1
4
4
3
9
3-7
43%
2-5
5-7
40%
70%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.8
35
30
17
6
10
4
2
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
3-6
5-10
50%
53%
3-8
38%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 31.7
32
26
20
3
1
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
51%
6-12
50%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 29.5
20
17
0
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-2
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 38.4
17
18
4
1
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-3
0%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 35.9
28
25
20
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
1-1
100%
5-11
4-7
45%
47%
3-7
43%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.5
26
22
6
5
1
0
1
3
2
2
3
0-2
0%
3-7
3-6
43%
48%
0-3
0%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 28.6
23
28
5
7
0
2
1
0
2
0
7
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
50%
1-7
14%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 27.3
11
13
2
4
0
2
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
53%
0-0
-
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 38.8
10
14
0
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
54%
0-4
0%
CJ Wilcox
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.2
2
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Alex Stepheson
F · 6'10" 270 · 28.6
5
0
1-1
51%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 23.6
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 26.9
Branden Dawson
F · 6'6" 225 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.