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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 24, 2016
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs66%108108
17Kings34%10292
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.6
31.6
31.0
7
26%
9
2
0
1
5
2
5
4
3-6
50%
2-11
7-14
18%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.8
30.6
27.0
23
68%
3
6
0
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
10-14
5-10
71%
52%
1-3
33%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.7
29.2
28.3
16
89%
7
1
3
1
1
0
0
7
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
47%
4-7
57%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.7
27.9
10.2
18
48%
8
1
4
1
1
1
1
7
6-6
100%
3-11
2-4
27%
54%
2-5
40%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 39.8
11.8
19.9
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
51%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.4
29.2
26.7
14
88%
8
3
2
1
0
3
0
8
0-0
-
7-7
3-6
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.9
23.3
19.4
8
82%
3
7
0
0
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
54%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.5
19.4
14.2
10
63%
8
1
2
0
0
3
0
8
0-0
-
5-8
2-5
63%
52%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.5
19.1
23.9
7
58%
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
50%
1-3
33%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.4
13.6
14.8
5
56%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.8
1.4
20.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.7
1.4
4.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.5
1.4
3.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
57%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.9
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.5
38.9
35.4
22
41%
10
2
1
1
0
3
2
8
4-9
44%
6-19
8-17
32%
46%
2-4
50%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 30.0
37.6
31.7
7
35%
8
18
3
2
0
1
0
8
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
45%
1-4
25%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 29.5
36.5
35.1
11
43%
5
1
3
1
0
2
0
5
1-2
50%
5-11
5-10
45%
46%
0-1
0%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.4
23.0
13.0
15
76%
2
0
2
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
5-8
1-3
63%
48%
1-1
100%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 23.0
16.6
15.9
5
28%
4
0
0
0
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
47%
1-4
25%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.5
31.4
30.7
15
84%
3
6
1
1
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
7-8
4-8
88%
49%
0-0
-
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.5
17.6
20.9
12
60%
6
0
2
1
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
6-10
3-5
60%
53%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29.9
15.5
18.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.0
7.7
11.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.7
7.7
19.9
3
25%
4
0
0
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
0-4
2-3
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.5
6.0
2.1
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
41%
0-1
0%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 26.9
1.4
8.6
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 36.0
2.1
0
0-0
38%
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 24.2
Duje Dukan
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.