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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 25, 2016
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs
96
15Jazz
78
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.7
35
20
29
5
3
3
1
0
0
0
5
6-6
100%
7-10
3-7
70%
52%
3-5
60%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.6
33
31
15
7
2
0
0
1
1
1
6
1-1
100%
7-15
6-13
47%
48%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 39.8
32
16
14
11
2
1
0
1
3
3
8
0-0
-
7-11
2-4
64%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.8
31
28
16
3
6
0
1
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
3-10
5-10
30%
50%
2-2
100%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.7
28
29
0
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
0-3
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.5
18
17
6
3
1
0
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
50%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.5
17
22
11
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
3-4
75%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.4
17
28
0
3
0
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.9
10
21
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.8
8
11
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-1
0%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.4
8
14
3
3
0
1
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
50%
1-1
100%
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.7
2
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.5
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
55%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.6
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 23.7
37
28
8
6
0
0
1
1
2
2
4
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
57%
0-0
-
Rodney Hood
G · 6'8" 206 · 23.3
37
31
12
3
6
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
47%
2-4
50%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 24.6
37
32
25
6
3
2
1
0
1
1
5
1-2
50%
12-17
6-13
71%
51%
0-0
-
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 25.9
36
35
11
2
2
1
1
0
3
0
2
3-3
100%
4-10
4-9
40%
47%
0-3
0%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.8
28
24
8
3
3
2
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-10
3-7
40%
47%
0-2
0%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.3
19
16
5
5
0
0
0
1
0
1
4
0-2
0%
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
1-1
100%
Raul Neto
G · 6'1" 179 · 23.8
12
14
4
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'6" 206 · 25.8
11
18
0
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-3
0%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 23.3
11
20
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-2
2-5
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 28.4
9
9
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-2
0%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 20.3
4
11
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 26.0
3
0
0-1
51%
Tibor Pleiss
C · 7'3" 256 · 26.3
Dante Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 20.6
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 24.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.