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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 27, 2016
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Warriors55%112121
4Thunder45%110118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.0
44.1
33.4
2
10%
14
14
6
1
4
3
3
11
2-5
40%
0-6
3-6
0%
52%
0-2
0%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 26.1
39.4
31.9
32
61%
3
1
2
1
1
1
0
3
6-7
86%
10-14
5-9
71%
49%
2-9
22%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.0
37.7
33.4
46
84%
3
6
2
2
0
3
0
3
6-8
75%
2-8
5-10
25%
53%
12-16
75%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.7
33.8
29.8
6
33%
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
49%
0-1
0%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 31.2
17.3
23.0
4
67%
0
0
0
1
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
55%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.1
33.5
25.9
12
68%
6
0
2
1
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
5-6
2-3
83%
54%
0-2
0%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 30.5
19.3
16.4
7
64%
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
51%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 33.2
13.6
14.9
4
33%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 28.6
12.3
8.9
8
57%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
46%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.4
10.7
10.3
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-2
1-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 30.6
3.4
8.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 23.1
3.8
0
1-1
51%
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.0
2.6
0
0-1
47%
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.1
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.3
42.2
35.0
26
40%
7
13
2
2
0
7
3
4
6-8
75%
10-23
7-14
43%
48%
0-6
0%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.4
40.7
33.9
15
58%
20
1
1
0
2
1
5
15
1-2
50%
7-10
5-9
70%
52%
0-2
0%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.4
39.3
35.7
37
67%
12
5
1
1
2
5
0
12
4-4
100%
6-15
7-13
40%
54%
7-11
64%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.2
37.1
18.3
10
56%
5
1
1
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
58%
2-4
50%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.6
28.0
23.3
10
58%
9
2
1
0
0
3
3
6
2-6
33%
4-6
3-5
67%
57%
0-0
-
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.2
31.0
28.2
7
44%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
3-5
2-5
60%
44%
0-2
0%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.8
22.6
11.6
2
50%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
43%
0-0
-
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 23.8
17.8
17.7
11
95%
5
0
0
0
0
3
1
4
3-4
75%
4-4
4-7
100%
52%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 32.4
6.4
16.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
40%
0-1
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 35.3
8.7
0
1-1
49%
Cameron Payne
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.6
5.7
0
1-1
46%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.4
5.5
0
0-1
46%
Mitch McGary
F · 6'10" 255 · 23.7
1.5
0
0-0
51%
Josh Huestis
G · 6'7" 230 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.