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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 28, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Timberwolves
101
12Mavericks
128
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.0
41
32
10
8
4
2
1
0
1
1
7
3-4
75%
2-7
4-9
29%
47%
1-6
17%
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'8" 202 · 21.0
30
34
15
4
1
0
1
0
3
2
2
5-8
63%
5-13
6-13
38%
47%
0-1
0%
Karl-Anthony Towns
C · 7'0" 248 · 20.3
26
35
12
11
3
0
1
0
4
4
7
0-2
0%
6-9
8-15
67%
54%
0-0
-
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 26.1
25
36
9
10
0
0
1
2
2
7
3
3-5
60%
3-11
4-9
27%
52%
0-0
-
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.4
25
34
14
2
5
0
2
0
0
1
1
3-3
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
40%
1-4
25%
Shabazz Muhammad
G-F · 6'6" 221 · 23.3
34
23
24
5
0
0
0
1
3
5
0
8-10
80%
5-9
4-7
56%
49%
2-4
50%
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 19.8
23
12
7
3
6
2
0
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
0-5
1-3
0%
42%
2-4
50%
Adreian Payne
· 6'10" 237 · 25.0
21
10
7
8
0
0
0
0
1
3
5
3-4
75%
2-6
1-2
33%
44%
0-0
-
Damjan Rudez
F · 6'10" 228 · 29.7
14
3
3
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
1-4
25%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 36.0
11
0
1-2
44%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 33.1
6
0
1-2
42%
Nemanja Bjelica
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.8
4
0
0-0
50%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 39.8
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 30.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.3
27
30
29
6
4
1
1
0
0
1
5
5-5
100%
6-8
4-7
75%
55%
4-7
57%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.7
25
29
10
4
9
0
1
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
47%
0-4
0%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.4
24
33
15
0
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
51%
3-6
50%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 32.0
20
16
6
7
3
1
1
1
0
3
4
2-2
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 37.7
17
33
10
4
1
0
1
2
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
5-10
40%
50%
2-3
67%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 31.7
27
32
7
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
3-7
67%
48%
1-4
25%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.7
24
16
12
2
7
0
0
0
3
1
1
2-2
100%
5-7
2-4
71%
48%
0-3
0%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.8
22
19
13
9
1
2
1
1
2
1
8
1-1
100%
6-9
4-7
67%
51%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 33.0
17
18
5
0
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
52%
1-2
50%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 31.5
13
4
7
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
4
3-3
100%
2-2
0-1
100%
51%
0-2
0%
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 22.3
9
3
10
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
0-1
0-0
0%
51%
2-3
67%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 24.6
9
3
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
54%
0-2
0%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 29.7
6
6
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
57%
0-0
-
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 28.3
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.