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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 29, 2016
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Grizzlies
103
23Nuggets
96
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 36.0
38
32
16
5
5
2
1
0
1
1
4
4-6
67%
6-6
2-4
100%
52%
0-4
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.6
33
27
22
4
6
0
1
1
1
1
3
4-4
100%
9-17
6-11
53%
49%
0-0
-
PJ Hairston
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23.2
32
23
14
4
0
1
1
1
0
0
4
2-3
67%
3-4
1-3
75%
42%
2-6
33%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.4
29
30
7
1
9
0
1
1
2
1
0
3-5
60%
2-5
4-9
40%
47%
0-4
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.6
22
14
7
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
3-6
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
59%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.8
23
18
15
2
3
2
1
0
0
0
2
8-8
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 25.5
21
24
14
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
6-8
3-6
75%
48%
0-1
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 39.1
19
21
4
0
1
1
1
1
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
44%
0-3
0%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 25.7
12
20
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 21.8
12
3
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 34.1
6
0
1-1
48%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 25.7
3
0
0-0
47%
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 21.6
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 31.1
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.5
34
33
15
2
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
52%
3-8
38%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.0
33
26
8
5
7
0
1
2
4
0
5
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
41%
2-4
50%
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 22.9
30
8
7
2
1
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
1-2
50%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.3
28
24
16
11
4
1
1
0
1
4
7
0-0
-
8-12
5-9
67%
55%
0-0
-
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.0
19
17
10
6
3
1
1
1
3
0
6
4-4
100%
3-4
3-5
75%
54%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25.1
34
31
9
6
4
0
1
0
3
0
6
3-4
75%
3-5
5-9
60%
50%
0-4
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.9
27
22
9
4
3
1
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-3
2-5
100%
47%
1-4
25%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.4
19
12
11
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
5-7
2-4
71%
53%
0-1
0%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 28.3
15
24
11
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-1
0%
4-6
1-3
67%
42%
1-2
50%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 34.1
8
0
1-1
47%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 21.5
5
0
1-2
46%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.0
4
0
0-0
45%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.6
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.