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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 1, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Bulls39%97111
17Heat61%101129
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 35.7
30.4
32.6
15
54%
9
6
0
1
1
1
1
8
2-2
100%
5-11
6-13
45%
48%
1-2
50%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 35.5
29.4
25.0
10
71%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
2-4
50%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.4
24.2
11.9
17
60%
0
3
1
0
0
3
0
0
4-7
57%
5-10
3-6
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.7
23.1
25.9
13
72%
3
1
1
1
0
1
2
1
5-7
71%
4-6
3-6
67%
50%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 27.0
19.2
30.2
8
67%
2
2
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
4-8
50%
47%
2-4
50%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 21.1
26.9
23.8
11
69%
7
0
4
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
4-7
4-9
57%
47%
1-1
100%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 24.2
26.4
28.8
11
44%
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1-1
100%
5-10
3-6
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 31.1
21.9
17.0
16
47%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
3-5
60%
2-10
2-4
20%
42%
3-5
60%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 26.9
16.3
14.2
7
51%
1
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
1-3
33%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 24.3
14.8
23.7
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 23.6
6.3
5.9
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Cameron Bairstow
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.2
1.3
2.6
1
57%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 26.5
9.7
0
2-4
48%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 31.0
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 25.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.9
36.8
31.0
20
92%
4
2
1
1
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
5-7
4-8
71%
49%
3-3
100%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.8
34.6
31.9
17
57%
4
11
1
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
8-12
5-9
67%
54%
0-2
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 34.1
34.2
30.1
18
58%
2
7
1
1
1
5
0
2
4-6
67%
7-13
8-16
54%
50%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 34.7
32.5
29.3
24
86%
5
4
0
1
1
2
1
4
2-2
100%
8-10
2-5
80%
46%
2-3
67%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.3
15.0
16.0
7
102%
4
1
0
0
5
1
2
2
1-1
100%
3-3
3-5
100%
54%
0-0
-
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.7
33.0
28.0
26
82%
14
1
0
1
4
1
1
13
10-11
91%
8-11
6-9
73%
61%
0-0
-
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 19.9
27.0
32.0
8
67%
2
0
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
3-6
80%
50%
0-1
0%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.5
26.8
25.3
9
60%
3
2
2
1
0
0
0
3
0-1
0%
3-4
2-3
75%
47%
1-3
33%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30.1
14.5
0
1-3
48%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 29.0
10.5
0
1-2
51%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.7
2.3
0
0-0
48%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 31.9
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.