for complete access.
Password *

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 2, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Bulls39%10189
22Magic61%105102
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 27.0
28
25
9
3
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 35.7
28
31
12
5
1
0
0
2
1
0
5
2-2
100%
5-12
6-12
42%
49%
0-1
0%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.4
25
19
16
4
6
1
0
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
7-14
4-9
50%
46%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 35.5
21
27
8
6
1
1
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
46%
2-3
67%
Cameron Bairstow
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.2
10
3
8
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
0-1
80%
45%
0-0
-
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 24.2
33
28
11
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-2
0%
4-10
3-6
40%
48%
1-5
20%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 26.9
28
15
6
4
4
3
1
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
1-7
1-2
14%
44%
1-3
33%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 21.1
26
25
9
6
5
0
1
0
1
0
6
1-2
50%
4-11
4-9
36%
48%
0-0
-
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 24.3
19
20
3
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 31.1
17
19
7
4
2
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
42%
1-4
25%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 23.7
5
6
0
5
1
0
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.7
25
1
3-6
50%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 26.5
10
0
2-4
49%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 25.1
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 31.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 21.0
37
19
21
5
2
1
0
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
6-10
2-3
60%
50%
3-7
43%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.8
36
32
17
7
1
1
1
1
3
1
6
5-6
83%
6-10
4-8
60%
47%
0-2
0%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 22.0
33
26
9
4
12
1
1
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
3-8
3-7
38%
46%
1-1
100%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.5
33
27
13
15
3
0
1
0
0
2
13
8-10
80%
1-2
3-6
50%
53%
1-4
25%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.4
33
27
24
7
4
1
1
0
1
2
5
3-3
100%
9-23
7-14
39%
52%
1-1
100%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.9
17
22
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-5
1-3
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 30.0
13
11
8
7
0
0
0
1
1
2
5
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
49%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.8
12
20
8
7
0
1
1
0
0
1
6
1-3
33%
2-7
2-4
29%
47%
1-1
100%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 26.4
12
18
2
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-4
25%
42%
0-1
0%
Devyn Marble
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.4
6
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 26.6
3
10
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.6
3
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-1
0%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.2
3
2
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-1
0%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.