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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 2, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Kings
98
13Grizzlies
104
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 30.0
41
29
6
8
17
0
1
0
5
3
5
0-2
0%
3-8
3-7
38%
47%
0-2
0%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.6
34
34
18
16
6
3
1
2
7
8
8
3-6
50%
6-15
8-17
40%
48%
1-3
33%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.4
26
22
11
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
5-5
2-4
100%
52%
0-1
0%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.7
26
22
12
7
1
0
1
0
3
0
7
3-4
75%
3-4
2-4
75%
51%
1-3
33%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 23.1
19
18
8
0
0
2
1
1
2
0
0
1-2
50%
2-3
2-3
67%
49%
1-4
25%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.5
28
32
17
0
1
0
1
0
5
0
0
3-4
75%
1-4
4-7
25%
51%
4-6
67%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29.9
25
16
16
1
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
5-8
2-3
63%
47%
2-7
29%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.5
20
18
8
4
0
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
4-4
2-4
100%
56%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.0
17
12
2
4
1
0
0
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
52%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 26.9
5
12
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 29.5
20
1
3-6
49%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.5
8
0
0-1
44%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 36.0
2
0
0-0
40%
Duje Dukan
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.2
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 24.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.6
35
29
19
8
2
0
1
0
2
4
4
7-7
100%
6-13
6-13
46%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.4
34
29
24
2
5
3
1
1
1
0
2
3-4
75%
6-9
4-8
67%
48%
3-3
100%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.7
27
17
10
6
0
2
0
1
3
2
4
6-8
75%
2-4
2-3
50%
60%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 36.0
27
33
2
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
53%
0-3
0%
PJ Hairston
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23.2
23
26
6
3
2
0
1
1
2
1
2
2-2
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
44%
0-3
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.8
27
20
15
0
4
3
1
0
1
0
0
6-6
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
49%
1-2
50%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 25.7
21
17
15
2
0
3
1
0
1
1
1
4-5
80%
4-6
2-5
67%
53%
1-1
100%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 39.1
19
20
4
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-7
1-3
29%
45%
0-5
0%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 25.5
16
22
7
3
3
1
1
0
4
1
2
1-1
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 21.8
10
7
2
8
0
0
0
1
1
4
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 31.4
2
15
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
61%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 34.1
6
0
1-1
49%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 31.1
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.4
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.