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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 2, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Pacers55%102104
21Bucks45%10099
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.3
36.4
34.4
10
46%
4
6
2
2
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
3-8
5-10
38%
49%
1-2
50%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.8
33.8
33.0
15
45%
10
5
0
2
1
7
1
9
1-4
25%
1-8
5-11
13%
46%
4-7
57%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 29.8
33.7
33.0
10
63%
3
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
50%
2-4
50%
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 19.9
31.1
28.0
12
53%
4
1
1
1
2
3
1
3
3-3
100%
3-9
6-11
33%
53%
1-1
100%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.3
24.4
23.7
10
60%
8
3
1
1
3
0
1
7
2-3
67%
4-7
3-5
57%
57%
0-0
-
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 28.6
23.2
20.9
19
69%
7
1
0
0
0
0
1
6
3-4
75%
8-12
4-7
67%
50%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.9
18.8
15.6
15
86%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
3-3
2-4
100%
46%
2-4
50%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 27.1
17.1
16.5
8
58%
6
2
0
0
0
0
4
2
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 27.8
14.3
12.7
3
31%
2
3
1
0
0
1
2
0
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 25.0
7.3
11.5
2
53%
4
2
2
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-1
0%
Joe Young
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.7
5.8
0
1-2
46%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 29.0
4.7
0
0-1
47%
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 22.1
3.9
0
0-1
48%
Shayne Whittington
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 24.9
Rakeem Christmas
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 21.2
41.5
37.0
22
56%
6
3
1
1
1
2
1
5
8-8
100%
7-16
6-12
44%
52%
0-0
-
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 24.6
38.4
39.5
23
50%
5
4
2
2
0
3
1
4
7-9
78%
5-14
5-12
36%
47%
2-5
40%
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 21.0
36.9
36.1
18
57%
4
0
2
1
0
4
2
2
2-2
100%
8-15
7-13
53%
51%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.3
33.9
18.9
3
38%
5
2
1
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
1-4
25%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 27.5
19.1
22.2
6
100%
6
0
1
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
3-3
3-6
100%
54%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.5
31.8
20.5
11
49%
3
5
0
1
0
0
0
3
5-5
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
44%
0-5
0%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 25.7
28.9
24.0
16
64%
7
0
1
1
0
1
1
6
6-8
75%
5-9
5-10
56%
51%
0-0
-
Rashad Vaughn
G · 6'6" 202 · 19.5
9.6
13.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
0-0
-
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 24.4
18.3
1
2-5
46%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 25.2
5.4
0
1-2
55%
Johnny O'Bryant III
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 22.8
4.3
0
0-1
43%
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 21.5
2.6
0
0-1
44%
Damien Inglis
F · 6'8" 246 · 20.8
1.9
0
0-0
47%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 29.1
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 32.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.