for complete access.
Password *

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 2, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Pistons17%9481
2Spurs83%10797
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.6
38
29
16
6
4
0
1
0
1
1
5
1-2
50%
6-14
4-8
43%
48%
1-2
50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.0
36
33
4
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-3
67%
1-6
3-7
17%
46%
0-4
0%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.5
32
34
16
4
2
0
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
4-10
3-7
40%
45%
2-5
40%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 25.9
31
28
11
3
3
1
1
0
4
0
3
3-3
100%
4-11
4-10
36%
45%
0-2
0%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 22.6
27
31
9
14
1
1
1
1
3
4
10
1-8
13%
4-6
6-11
67%
50%
0-0
-
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.2
26
14
12
6
1
0
0
0
2
2
4
2-2
100%
5-8
2-4
63%
48%
0-0
-
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 25.0
21
18
7
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
2-3
67%
1-1
1-2
100%
38%
1-1
100%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 36.0
17
18
3
1
4
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
39%
1-2
50%
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.9
12
11
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
1-3
33%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 19.8
9
0
1-2
42%
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.5
8
0
1-1
41%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.8
5
0
0-0
46%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 33.6
3
0
0-0
48%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.5
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 22.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.7
36
31
27
6
5
2
2
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
12-16
5-10
75%
54%
1-6
17%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.6
35
31
23
10
3
0
1
0
2
0
10
3-3
100%
10-16
7-14
63%
50%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.7
33
29
0
1
3
2
1
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.8
27
29
10
3
4
0
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
4-5
5-10
80%
51%
0-2
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 39.9
20
22
12
8
1
1
1
0
1
3
5
0-1
0%
6-9
3-6
67%
51%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.4
19
23
7
5
0
1
1
2
0
0
5
3-3
100%
2-6
3-5
33%
51%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.6
18
20
7
2
7
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
50%
1-2
50%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.5
16
16
4
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
3-5
29%
52%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.9
14
14
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
54%
1-1
100%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.5
8
8
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
52%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 40.0
8
2
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.8
5
8
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-1
0%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.5
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
58%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.6
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.