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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 3, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs74%10694
18Pelicans26%9886
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.7
39
33
30
11
3
2
2
2
2
1
10
0-0
-
6-12
6-11
50%
54%
6-10
60%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.6
35
32
26
8
1
0
1
1
2
0
8
4-4
100%
11-19
7-14
58%
50%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.7
34
31
11
3
4
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-3
1-3
100%
47%
1-5
20%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.8
24
28
2
3
5
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
5-10
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 39.9
22
21
7
5
2
0
1
2
1
2
3
3-4
75%
2-6
3-6
33%
51%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.6
27
19
9
4
8
3
1
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
1-3
33%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.8
19
7
2
2
2
0
0
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.5
17
21
2
7
1
1
1
1
0
0
7
2-2
100%
0-2
2-5
0%
50%
0-1
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.5
14
16
5
5
0
0
0
1
3
0
5
1-1
100%
2-7
3-5
29%
52%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.9
6
14
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
54%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 40.0
4
7
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.5
9
0
1-2
52%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.5
3
0
1-1
57%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.9
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 23.0
35
33
17
13
1
2
1
2
2
1
12
3-3
100%
7-11
8-15
64%
51%
0-1
0%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.2
34
28
23
5
4
0
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
6-13
2-4
46%
43%
3-6
50%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.9
32
30
5
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
47%
1-4
25%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.4
29
31
11
3
5
2
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
4-10
4-10
40%
43%
1-3
33%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 31.3
27
19
2
4
2
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 25.7
28
30
13
3
7
2
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
4-13
5-11
31%
46%
1-4
25%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.7
17
3
3
3
2
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
41%
1-2
50%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 28.8
16
16
2
5
0
0
1
1
1
3
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 27.8
13
27
8
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-1
100%
2-7
4-9
29%
45%
1-3
33%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 30.0
10
11
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
41%
0-1
0%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 27.8
10
0
2-3
49%
Bryce Dejean-Jones
G · 6'6" 203 · 23.5
7
0
0-1
42%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.7
5
0
0-1
51%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.5
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.