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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 5, 2016
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Kings16%9894
1Spurs84%112104
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.6
36.2
34.0
31
58%
9
3
1
1
0
4
3
6
10-15
67%
9-17
7-17
53%
45%
1-3
33%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 30.0
35.9
34.4
9
50%
1
8
2
2
0
6
0
1
0-0
-
3-8
4-8
38%
44%
1-1
100%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 29.5
34.2
22.7
9
60%
4
1
2
1
2
2
1
3
0-1
0%
3-5
3-6
60%
46%
1-2
50%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.4
30.6
20.3
16
114%
7
1
1
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
5-5
2-4
100%
50%
2-2
100%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 23.1
14.6
19.9
3
28%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
0-1
0%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.5
33.4
28.9
12
61%
3
7
2
1
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
48%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29.9
22.7
21.3
7
32%
3
1
2
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-8
2-5
25%
45%
1-3
33%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.7
20.8
21.8
6
30%
4
0
3
1
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
49%
0-4
0%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.5
11.5
14.0
1
13%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-3
2-3
0%
53%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.0
13.1
0
2-3
48%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 26.9
6.3
0
0-1
42%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.5
4.4
0
0-1
38%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 36.0
2.1
0
0-0
40%
Duje Dukan
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.3
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 24.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.7
36.4
35.0
25
46%
13
6
1
2
1
4
5
8
6-7
86%
8-19
7-12
42%
55%
1-5
20%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.8
31.6
25.8
2
17%
2
7
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
5-9
20%
53%
0-1
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.9
30.3
11.0
11
61%
3
6
2
0
2
6
1
2
0-0
-
4-6
1-3
67%
55%
1-3
33%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.5
26.9
14.8
12
58%
3
3
2
0
0
2
0
3
2-3
67%
5-9
3-5
56%
53%
0-0
-
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.5
14.6
5.9
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
53%
0-1
0%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.5
27.8
19.1
4
67%
7
2
1
1
1
2
1
6
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.6
23.7
22.2
9
56%
4
3
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
51%
3-6
50%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.6
18.6
1.8
9
78%
9
1
0
0
0
1
2
7
3-4
75%
3-4
0-1
75%
60%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.6
15.4
19.2
22
83%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
5-5
100%
7-8
2-5
88%
52%
1-3
33%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 40.0
7.3
5.1
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
52%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.9
6.2
4.5
6
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
51%
2-3
67%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.8
1.1
11.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.7
31.6
1
2-3
48%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.6
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 39.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.