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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 5, 2016
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Hawks28%101107
4Clippers72%10997
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 31.1
37
30
20
18
5
3
1
0
3
5
13
3-4
75%
7-13
4-9
54%
49%
1-1
100%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.8
32
30
11
12
1
0
1
0
1
3
9
2-2
100%
3-8
5-9
38%
53%
1-3
33%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 26.7
31
29
17
5
2
1
1
2
3
0
5
5-5
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
48%
2-5
40%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 27.7
29
27
22
6
7
1
1
0
2
1
5
3-3
100%
5-11
3-7
45%
46%
3-4
75%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 35.0
28
28
10
1
3
2
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
47%
2-5
40%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 31.8
30
20
3
8
2
1
1
1
1
1
7
0-2
0%
0-2
2-3
0%
52%
1-3
33%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 22.5
19
19
16
1
3
0
1
0
3
0
1
4-4
100%
6-10
3-7
60%
45%
0-0
-
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 27.6
14
18
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
51%
0-3
0%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.1
13
15
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 24.0
8
16
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 24.7
6
0
1-1
53%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 35.2
4
0
0-0
37%
Edy Tavares
C · 7'3" 265 · 24.0
4
0
0-1
49%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 31.2
Lamar Patterson
G-F · 6'5" 225 · 24.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.5
38
23
14
5
2
1
1
2
0
1
4
0-1
0%
4-5
3-6
80%
46%
2-4
50%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.8
37
36
17
6
11
1
2
0
4
0
6
3-3
100%
4-11
6-11
36%
52%
2-5
40%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.6
33
35
17
11
2
4
1
5
3
2
9
7-17
41%
5-7
5-8
71%
68%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 31.7
30
30
10
2
1
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
4-7
33%
50%
2-7
29%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 38.4
14
15
11
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
3-3
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
2-5
40%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 36.0
29
28
5
3
1
1
1
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
2-6
4-9
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 23.6
19
14
11
2
3
2
0
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
2-5
2-3
40%
48%
2-5
40%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 28.7
17
26
4
6
1
0
1
1
2
0
6
2-2
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
48%
0-2
0%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 27.3
12
12
2
6
0
1
0
2
1
3
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 38.8
11
10
6
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
2-3
67%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 29.5
9
0
1-1
46%
CJ Wilcox
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.2
3
0
0-1
46%
Alex Stepheson
F · 6'10" 270 · 28.6
2
0
0-0
48%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 27.0
Branden Dawson
F · 6'6" 225 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.