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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 6, 2016
6:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Trail Blazers
103
20Pistons
123
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
36
33
22
2
5
2
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
7-11
5-12
64%
47%
2-4
50%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.6
35
33
26
5
5
0
1
0
7
1
4
8-8
100%
6-13
5-11
46%
48%
2-9
22%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.5
32
20
16
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
48%
4-9
44%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 26.0
17
24
4
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
4-4
100%
0-0
3-5
-
55%
0-0
-
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 20.5
13
14
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.9
24
24
6
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
51%
0-0
-
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.0
23
17
10
4
1
1
0
0
2
1
3
3-3
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
54%
1-4
25%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 28.2
22
23
6
5
0
1
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.8
21
16
7
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
55%
1-2
50%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.8
9
19
0
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
58%
0-0
-
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.2
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 30.3
3
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-1
0%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 33.9
3
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
1-1
100%
Luis Montero
· 6'7" 185 · 22.9
Cliff Alexander
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.6
39
33
16
5
5
2
1
0
4
0
5
0-0
-
5-9
5-9
56%
51%
2-3
67%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.0
37
34
16
7
2
1
1
0
0
2
5
7-8
88%
3-9
4-7
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.5
34
29
19
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
7-9
78%
3-10
3-7
30%
48%
2-4
50%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 25.9
34
28
30
1
9
2
1
0
1
0
1
7-7
100%
10-15
5-10
67%
49%
1-4
25%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 22.6
27
32
14
18
1
1
1
1
1
4
14
0-2
0%
7-11
6-12
64%
54%
0-0
-
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 25.0
26
21
11
7
2
0
1
0
0
2
5
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
44%
3-3
100%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.2
20
15
4
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
52%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 36.0
14
18
5
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
42%
1-2
50%
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.9
7
10
5
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
1-2
50%
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.5
1
8
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
1-1
100%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 33.6
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.5
5
0
1-1
47%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.8
5
0
0-0
50%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 22.9
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 19.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.