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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 7, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Grizzlies
106
3Cavaliers
103
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.8
41
26
17
4
7
4
1
0
3
0
4
2-3
67%
6-11
3-6
55%
46%
1-6
17%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 25.7
37
21
16
10
6
4
1
2
1
4
6
4-4
100%
6-11
3-5
55%
50%
0-2
0%
PJ Hairston
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23.2
35
20
9
3
0
0
1
1
1
1
2
4-5
80%
1-3
1-3
33%
40%
1-6
17%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 34.2
34
6
26
2
4
5
0
1
2
1
1
3-3
100%
10-16
1-1
63%
46%
1-1
100%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 31.4
22
10
4
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
56%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 25.5
28
22
17
7
3
1
1
1
3
0
7
0-1
0%
7-14
3-6
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 39.1
26
21
15
4
1
2
1
2
3
1
3
5-6
83%
2-5
1-3
40%
41%
2-4
50%
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 21.8
19
7
2
3
2
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
45%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.6
31
1
6-13
46%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.4
29
1
4-8
45%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 36.0
29
1
2-4
50%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.7
16
0
1-2
57%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 31.1
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.4
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 21.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 31.2
38
32
28
9
5
1
1
0
4
2
7
4-5
80%
9-15
7-13
60%
56%
2-4
50%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 24.0
37
30
27
2
5
4
1
1
7
0
2
6-7
86%
6-9
6-11
67%
51%
3-7
43%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.5
35
30
6
5
1
0
1
1
1
1
4
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
1-8
13%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 27.5
33
23
14
11
3
0
1
1
4
4
7
10-10
100%
2-6
3-5
33%
50%
0-3
0%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 29.6
11
15
2
6
1
1
0
0
2
4
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
56%
0-0
-
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 25.0
27
25
11
6
0
0
0
3
2
0
6
1-3
33%
5-6
3-5
83%
56%
0-0
-
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.5
26
24
2
2
3
0
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
43%
0-3
0%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 25.7
22
29
9
4
1
2
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
1-2
50%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 35.7
7
15
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 32.8
5
7
2
2
2
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
0-1
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.4
5
0
0-0
42%
Jordan McRae
G · 6'5" 179 · 24.9
4
0
0-1
49%
Sasha Kaun
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.8
2
0
0-0
53%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 33.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.