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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 7, 2016
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Magic19%101113
2Warriors81%113119
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.8
39
32
19
9
8
1
1
0
4
2
7
3-3
100%
8-13
4-9
62%
45%
0-3
0%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.5
36
24
20
16
0
1
1
1
3
6
10
4-4
100%
8-14
3-5
57%
51%
0-1
0%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.4
35
29
20
1
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
6-7
86%
4-8
3-6
50%
47%
2-5
40%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 22.0
23
30
6
2
7
3
1
0
1
0
2
2-3
67%
2-7
4-8
29%
44%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 30.0
23
12
13
2
0
2
0
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
6-12
2-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 26.5
25
15
20
1
3
1
1
0
3
0
1
8-9
89%
3-3
1-3
100%
40%
2-7
29%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.9
21
21
2
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.8
15
18
7
2
0
2
1
0
0
1
1
3-4
75%
2-5
2-5
40%
45%
0-1
0%
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 21.0
15
27
4
3
1
0
1
1
3
0
3
1-2
50%
0-3
2-5
0%
48%
1-4
25%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 26.6
9
8
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
Devyn Marble
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.5
11
0
1-1
41%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.6
4
0
0-1
38%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.2
3
0
0-1
47%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.0
37
31
41
13
3
4
2
0
5
1
12
6-6
100%
7-11
5-9
64%
54%
7-13
54%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 26.1
36
31
27
6
0
1
1
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
6-12
5-10
50%
51%
5-11
45%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.0
35
33
1
9
10
2
1
3
7
3
6
1-2
50%
0-3
3-6
0%
52%
0-0
-
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.8
31
30
8
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
4-7
57%
2-5
3-6
40%
51%
0-3
0%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 31.3
23
22
4
10
6
3
1
2
5
2
8
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
57%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 30.5
21
18
9
2
2
1
1
1
2
0
2
3-4
75%
3-6
2-5
50%
53%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 30.7
20
16
11
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
3-5
60%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 33.3
15
17
9
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
50%
1-2
50%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 28.6
6
12
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
3-6
0%
47%
0-1
0%
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 23.2
6
6
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
3-6
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
53%
0-0
-
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.0
5
7
2
2
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.4
4
9
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.1
2
0
0-0
52%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.1
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.