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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 9, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Rockets72%111118
3076ers28%102104
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 26.5
41
39
29
9
8
1
2
1
4
2
7
13-13
100%
8-18
6-13
44%
51%
0-8
0%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 30.7
40
37
15
1
3
2
2
1
1
0
1
3-4
75%
0-4
2-4
0%
50%
4-10
40%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.3
33
34
21
18
1
1
1
2
2
9
9
3-9
33%
9-12
6-10
75%
60%
0-0
-
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.7
32
34
16
4
5
3
2
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
47%
4-7
57%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 25.5
7
17
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
54%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 38.5
28
16
10
3
3
2
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
3-5
60%
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.1
17
2
12
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
6-6
100%
3-3
0-0
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 30.0
16
24
2
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-2
0%
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 21.8
10
12
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
1-2
50%
1-1
2-3
100%
57%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.2
9
4
8
1
0
2
0
1
1
0
1
4-4
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
0-0
-
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 22.1
7
7
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
54%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 30.3
11
0
1-3
47%
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.3
0
0
0-0
50%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 24.2
Sam Dekker
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.0
36
33
13
3
2
1
1
1
2
0
3
2-4
50%
4-9
3-7
44%
50%
1-3
33%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 27.7
35
34
21
2
5
1
2
0
6
0
2
1-1
100%
7-11
6-13
64%
44%
2-7
29%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.2
35
33
17
7
4
4
2
1
2
0
7
6-8
75%
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
3-8
38%
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 24.9
34
28
10
7
2
0
1
0
0
0
7
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
2-4
50%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 21.9
32
12
17
9
4
2
1
2
3
8
1
3-4
75%
7-17
2-4
41%
52%
0-0
-
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 24.8
24
29
14
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-4
2-4
0%
41%
4-9
44%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.0
13
14
5
3
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
1-1
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.4
13
22
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.4
9
17
1
4
0
0
0
1
0
4
0
1-4
25%
0-1
2-4
0%
56%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 32.5
9
16
6
6
0
0
0
0
1
3
3
6-8
75%
0-2
3-6
0%
52%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 37.0
7
0
1-1
48%
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.6
4
0
0-1
44%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 29.7
4
0
0-1
46%
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.0
Jahlil Okafor
C · 6'11" 260 · 20.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.