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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 9, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Grizzlies32%9996
7Celtics68%106116
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 25.7
37
26
17
13
2
0
1
2
4
4
9
5-6
83%
6-11
3-7
55%
51%
0-1
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 36.0
34
21
12
2
4
1
1
2
3
1
1
2-2
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
51%
2-11
18%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 34.2
27
17
12
5
2
2
1
0
4
2
3
4-6
67%
4-9
2-4
44%
47%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 31.4
25
14
7
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
1-2
50%
3-5
1-3
60%
58%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.8
22
30
11
5
5
1
2
1
2
1
4
8-8
100%
0-4
3-7
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 39.1
27
22
17
6
3
3
1
1
2
0
6
3-4
75%
1-3
2-4
33%
42%
4-6
67%
PJ Hairston
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23.2
25
25
2
3
0
1
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
41%
0-4
0%
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 21.8
23
11
16
6
1
0
0
1
1
4
2
2-3
67%
7-10
1-2
70%
45%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 25.5
21
23
2
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-7
3-7
14%
48%
0-1
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.6
22
1
4-9
47%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.4
21
1
3-6
46%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.7
12
0
1-2
57%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 31.1
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.4
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 21.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.3
36
34
15
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
4-7
50%
50%
3-8
38%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 27.1
29
32
22
3
5
1
1
0
1
0
3
6-8
75%
5-12
5-11
42%
49%
2-6
33%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 25.7
22
33
15
2
1
2
2
1
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-6
4-7
33%
54%
3-6
50%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 24.0
21
27
12
5
2
3
1
0
2
0
5
2-3
67%
5-11
5-11
45%
50%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 28.9
18
16
3
2
2
0
0
1
2
1
1
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
60%
0-0
-
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 27.4
30
27
16
4
8
1
1
0
3
1
3
3-4
75%
5-9
4-9
56%
48%
1-1
100%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 22.0
28
25
10
5
3
1
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
2-6
33%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.1
26
18
9
7
1
0
0
1
1
1
6
3-3
100%
3-4
4-7
75%
52%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 29.0
23
16
11
5
0
1
0
1
1
1
4
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
47%
3-4
75%
RJ Hunter
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.4
2
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
1-1
100%
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 21.7
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.0
2
2
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 20.6
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Coty Clarke
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.7
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 24.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.