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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 9, 2016
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Pistons
102
13Mavericks
96
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.1
40
35
14
5
3
3
1
0
1
2
3
3-3
100%
4-8
4-7
50%
48%
1-8
13%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.5
39
30
20
7
2
1
1
0
1
0
7
2-3
67%
6-10
3-7
60%
48%
2-6
33%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.6
39
34
19
7
5
1
1
0
2
1
6
5-5
100%
4-5
5-9
80%
51%
2-6
33%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 22.6
34
29
25
17
1
1
1
1
3
6
11
5-14
36%
10-19
6-11
53%
53%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 25.9
29
30
11
4
4
0
1
0
0
3
1
1-3
33%
2-10
5-11
20%
48%
2-3
67%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 25.0
26
22
5
8
0
0
1
0
2
2
6
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
1-3
33%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 36.0
19
16
7
0
4
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
42%
1-1
100%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.2
14
17
1
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
2
1-2
50%
0-0
3-5
-
52%
0-0
-
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.9
9
0
1-2
46%
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.5
6
0
0-1
47%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.8
5
0
0-0
50%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.6
4
0
0-1
46%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 33.6
2
0
0-0
50%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 22.9
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 19.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.7
37
29
8
5
9
0
1
1
2
1
4
1-2
50%
2-7
3-6
29%
45%
1-6
17%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.4
37
32
25
4
6
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
8-11
4-8
73%
53%
3-9
33%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 37.7
35
28
25
10
3
1
1
0
1
0
10
3-3
100%
8-13
5-9
62%
49%
2-4
50%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 32.1
35
15
10
13
1
0
1
0
0
3
10
4-5
80%
3-6
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.4
34
30
10
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
49%
2-7
29%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 31.7
25
27
5
1
0
2
1
0
3
1
0
1-1
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
46%
0-1
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.7
13
21
7
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
1-1
100%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.9
13
18
4
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
4-7
50%
50%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 33.0
11
16
2
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 31.5
0
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 29.7
5
0
1-1
54%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 24.6
4
0
1-1
52%
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 22.3
4
0
0-1
48%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.1
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 28.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.