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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 9, 2016
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Jazz
94
1Warriors
115
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 26.0
32
36
16
6
2
1
1
0
3
0
6
4-5
80%
3-9
5-11
33%
45%
2-6
33%
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 23.7
30
32
9
15
1
1
1
1
0
8
7
5-9
56%
2-4
4-7
50%
55%
0-0
-
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.9
28
27
7
4
8
2
1
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
2-8
3-8
25%
45%
1-1
100%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 24.7
27
33
11
4
2
1
1
2
0
1
3
1-1
100%
5-12
7-15
42%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Johnson
F · 6'6" 206 · 25.9
20
9
5
3
0
1
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 23.3
22
8
18
0
1
2
0
0
3
0
0
8-8
100%
2-6
1-2
33%
42%
2-4
50%
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 28.4
22
18
5
1
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Raul Neto
G · 6'1" 179 · 23.8
21
15
8
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
2-7
1-3
29%
43%
1-2
50%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.3
19
17
4
7
1
0
1
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
0-1
0%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 20.3
15
11
11
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
3-6
50%
4-5
1-3
80%
44%
0-2
0%
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 26.0
5
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Rodney Hood
G · 6'8" 206 · 23.4
32
1
3-7
45%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 24.6
Tibor Pleiss
C · 7'3" 256 · 26.3
Dante Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 20.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.0
35
33
17
7
5
2
1
3
3
0
7
1-2
50%
5-9
3-6
56%
53%
2-4
50%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.0
32
33
12
3
10
3
2
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
1-3
5-9
33%
55%
3-9
33%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 26.1
30
33
23
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-6
5-10
67%
51%
5-8
63%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.8
29
30
4
6
3
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-1
0%
2-7
3-6
29%
51%
0-1
0%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 31.3
14
22
6
4
2
0
1
3
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
57%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.1
22
13
4
4
3
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
56%
0-1
0%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 33.3
20
16
13
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
5-6
2-4
83%
50%
1-2
50%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 30.5
17
19
4
1
4
1
1
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
53%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 28.6
15
10
16
5
4
0
0
0
0
2
3
3-4
75%
5-6
2-5
83%
47%
1-4
25%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.4
13
7
9
5
0
1
0
0
2
3
2
1-1
100%
4-6
1-2
67%
51%
0-0
-
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.0
5
7
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 30.7
4
18
5
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
1-1
100%
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 23.2
4
6
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.1
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.