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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with player e-skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 10, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Hawks45%10196
6Raptors55%103104
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.8
35
32
20
4
3
2
1
0
4
0
4
1-2
50%
5-9
5-9
56%
54%
3-5
60%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 31.1
34
32
12
5
0
2
2
3
2
1
4
8-12
67%
2-6
5-10
33%
50%
0-2
0%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 26.7
31
28
13
8
1
1
1
2
0
1
7
1-1
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
50%
2-5
40%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 35.0
26
26
5
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 27.7
25
29
10
4
7
2
1
0
1
1
3
2-3
67%
4-11
4-8
36%
47%
0-4
0%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 22.5
25
18
11
2
5
1
1
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
5-8
3-6
63%
47%
0-1
0%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 24.0
21
15
11
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
4-6
1-2
67%
47%
1-2
50%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 31.9
20
23
3
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
1-3
2-3
33%
52%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.1
15
16
9
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
5-6
83%
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
0-1
0%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 24.7
7
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
55%
0-0
-
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 27.6
13
0
1-2
52%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 35.2
3
0
0-0
41%
Lamar Patterson
G-F · 6'5" 225 · 24.6
Edy Tavares
C · 7'3" 265 · 24.0
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 31.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 30.0
38
37
19
1
7
2
2
0
3
0
1
6-8
75%
5-6
4-8
83%
47%
1-8
13%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 26.6
35
34
30
5
0
0
1
0
4
0
5
7-9
78%
10-18
7-15
56%
46%
1-2
50%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.8
24
24
10
10
0
0
0
0
1
4
6
4-6
67%
3-5
5-8
60%
56%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 35.9
22
11
10
12
0
0
0
0
2
3
9
3-4
75%
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 22.8
17
13
2
1
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.6
29
22
6
3
3
2
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.0
26
26
12
4
1
0
1
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
51%
2-4
50%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 25.1
26
22
12
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
48%
2-5
40%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 23.5
24
22
3
9
1
0
0
2
0
2
7
1-2
50%
1-5
2-3
20%
54%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.1
12
0
1-2
54%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 29.6
12
0
1-3
47%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.9
4
0
0-1
44%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 23.6
2
0
0-0
53%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 29.6
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 20.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use e-skills to estimate a player's true skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about E-Skills here.