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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 10, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Bulls
101
2Spurs
109
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 27.0
36
29
20
6
4
1
1
1
3
0
6
0-0
-
4-7
3-7
57%
46%
4-5
80%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.4
36
31
21
3
6
0
1
0
2
2
1
2-2
100%
8-19
6-13
42%
44%
1-2
50%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 35.7
35
33
21
12
4
0
0
2
7
4
8
4-4
100%
7-15
6-13
47%
46%
1-1
100%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 35.5
29
29
7
6
3
0
1
0
1
0
6
2-3
67%
1-3
2-4
33%
43%
1-5
20%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.7
22
31
8
5
1
1
1
0
2
3
2
2-2
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
48%
0-0
-
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 25.1
28
15
8
10
2
2
0
1
3
1
9
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
2-5
40%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 24.2
22
20
4
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 26.9
21
14
12
2
1
1
1
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
40%
2-3
67%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 21.1
11
11
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 26.5
16
1
3-6
46%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 24.3
9
0
1-1
41%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 31.2
9
0
1-2
39%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 23.7
3
0
0-0
43%
Cameron Bairstow
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 31.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.7
39
32
29
7
2
2
2
2
1
1
6
5-5
100%
6-10
6-12
60%
54%
4-5
80%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.6
33
32
26
10
1
2
1
1
1
1
9
6-6
100%
10-19
7-14
53%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.8
32
19
20
4
12
1
0
0
2
0
4
0-1
0%
10-15
3-6
67%
52%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 39.9
28
23
7
3
4
2
1
0
0
1
2
1-3
33%
3-7
4-7
43%
51%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.7
24
27
4
2
1
2
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.6
20
18
4
1
2
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
51%
0-2
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.5
19
22
8
6
1
0
1
1
1
4
2
2-2
100%
3-8
4-7
38%
53%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.6
17
21
5
0
4
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
50%
1-5
20%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.5
14
19
3
4
2
2
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
51%
1-1
100%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 33.1
8
5
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.9
3
17
2
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
54%
0-1
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 40.0
3
11
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.6
1
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
57%
0-0
-
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.5
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.