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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 11, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Pistons36%100103
8Hornets64%105118
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.1
38
36
24
2
0
1
1
0
3
1
1
4-4
100%
7-12
4-8
58%
48%
2-4
50%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.7
35
35
20
5
1
3
1
0
2
0
5
6-6
100%
4-9
5-9
44%
50%
2-5
40%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.5
31
34
13
4
1
1
1
0
3
0
4
2-4
50%
4-7
4-8
57%
47%
1-4
25%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 25.9
31
29
20
2
10
0
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
5-6
5-10
83%
48%
2-9
22%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 22.6
23
31
5
9
0
0
1
1
2
2
7
3-6
50%
1-1
6-12
100%
53%
0-0
-
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.3
25
15
8
6
2
0
0
3
0
0
6
2-2
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 25.0
18
23
0
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 36.0
17
17
5
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
1-4
25%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.8
9
5
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-2
0%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 19.8
9
8
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
1-1
100%
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.9
3
6
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
2-2
1-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.5
4
0
0-1
46%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 33.6
1
0
0-0
47%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.6
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 22.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 27.2
37
37
17
5
11
2
1
0
2
0
5
4-5
80%
5-10
3-7
50%
50%
1-5
20%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.4
35
27
15
6
1
1
1
1
1
0
6
1-1
100%
7-9
2-4
78%
49%
0-0
-
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 25.8
32
36
16
1
8
1
2
0
3
0
1
9-9
100%
2-6
5-10
33%
46%
1-5
20%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 29.7
25
28
22
6
0
0
1
0
1
3
3
3-4
75%
2-4
2-5
50%
50%
5-8
63%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 23.4
24
26
10
4
2
2
1
2
0
3
1
4-4
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
50%
0-0
-
Frank Kaminsky
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 22.9
25
18
10
4
0
0
0
2
1
1
3
1-2
50%
3-5
2-3
60%
48%
1-1
100%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.5
22
21
8
1
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
47%
2-4
50%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 31.2
21
20
12
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
4
2-4
50%
5-10
4-9
50%
50%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.8
8
15
2
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
52%
0-2
0%
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 24.7
3
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
44%
0-0
-
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 30.4
3
2
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
44%
0-0
-
Aaron Harrison
G · 6'6" 210 · 21.4
3
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Jorge Gutierrez
G · 6'3" 189 · 27.2
3
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 27.9
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 22.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.