for complete access.
Password *

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 11, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Heat
118
16Bulls
96
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.9
32
34
19
6
2
4
1
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
4-7
4-9
57%
49%
3-5
60%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 34.1
31
31
9
7
5
0
1
2
2
2
5
3-4
75%
3-15
8-15
20%
49%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.8
31
34
26
3
9
1
1
1
1
0
3
5-6
83%
9-14
5-10
64%
54%
1-2
50%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 34.7
29
30
15
3
2
4
1
0
3
1
2
3-4
75%
3-7
3-6
43%
46%
2-3
67%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.3
15
17
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
3-5
100%
54%
0-0
-
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 20.0
32
26
8
6
4
3
1
0
0
1
5
0-2
0%
4-7
2-5
57%
50%
0-0
-
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.5
32
24
22
2
4
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
5-6
2-3
83%
45%
4-6
67%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.7
31
29
13
16
2
1
1
3
0
3
13
1-2
50%
6-13
6-10
46%
60%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30.1
3
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-1
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 29.0
3
4
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.8
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 32.0
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 23.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 26.9
38
17
14
4
1
2
1
2
2
2
2
1-1
100%
5-13
1-2
38%
44%
1-2
50%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 35.7
30
33
17
12
9
0
1
2
6
3
9
1-2
50%
5-9
6-13
56%
48%
2-3
67%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 27.0
27
32
6
2
5
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
4-8
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.7
25
26
13
6
2
0
1
1
2
1
5
1-1
100%
6-10
3-6
60%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 35.5
25
29
8
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
46%
1-2
50%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 24.2
23
21
10
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
47%
2-4
50%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 31.2
21
6
11
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-9
1-2
33%
42%
1-3
33%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 25.1
19
21
6
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 21.1
18
12
5
4
2
1
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
2-2
2-4
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 24.3
10
8
5
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
1-2
50%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 23.7
4
3
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
0-1
0-0
0%
49%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.4
33
1
7-14
46%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 26.5
12
1
2-4
49%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 31.0
Cameron Bairstow
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.