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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 12, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Rockets39%103109
7Hornets61%107125
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.3
34
33
16
13
4
0
1
0
4
4
9
0-2
0%
8-10
6-10
80%
58%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 26.5
34
37
12
3
10
2
2
0
1
1
2
8-9
89%
2-9
6-13
22%
49%
0-5
0%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 30.7
31
37
9
5
1
2
2
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
47%
1-6
17%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.7
29
35
0
2
1
0
1
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
45%
0-3
0%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 25.5
5
12
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 30.0
27
21
21
3
0
1
1
1
0
0
3
2-4
50%
8-11
2-4
73%
48%
1-4
25%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 38.5
20
21
11
2
2
2
1
0
0
2
0
1-1
100%
2-6
1-2
33%
49%
2-3
67%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.2
15
11
15
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
1
3-3
100%
6-8
2-4
75%
45%
0-1
0%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 21.8
14
12
9
4
1
0
0
1
0
3
1
1-5
20%
4-7
2-3
57%
55%
0-0
-
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.1
14
11
5
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 22.1
12
5
5
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
1-1
67%
51%
0-0
-
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.3
5
5
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
42%
0-1
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 30.3
7
0
1-2
45%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 24.2
Sam Dekker
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 27.2
34
36
14
8
8
1
1
1
1
0
8
2-2
100%
3-6
4-7
50%
51%
2-4
50%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 25.8
33
34
26
5
6
0
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
7-9
4-10
78%
47%
4-7
57%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 29.7
27
27
25
4
0
2
1
0
1
3
1
4-4
100%
6-11
2-4
55%
51%
3-5
60%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.4
26
30
12
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
51%
2-4
50%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 23.4
15
25
7
4
3
0
1
0
2
2
2
1-2
50%
3-4
3-6
75%
50%
0-0
-
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 31.2
30
21
10
10
3
0
1
2
1
2
8
0-0
-
5-11
5-9
45%
51%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.6
26
22
16
4
4
1
1
0
0
1
3
7-8
88%
3-7
3-6
43%
47%
1-2
50%
Frank Kaminsky
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 22.9
21
21
5
2
1
0
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
50%
1-5
20%
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 24.7
13
3
6
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
2-3
67%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.8
8
12
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
53%
0-0
-
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 30.4
3
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Aaron Harrison
G · 6'6" 210 · 21.4
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-1
0%
Jorge Gutierrez
G · 6'3" 189 · 27.2
3
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 22.5
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 27.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.