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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 12, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Pistons
125
3076ers
111
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.1
40
36
23
4
6
2
2
0
3
2
2
4-5
80%
8-17
4-8
47%
50%
1-4
25%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.5
40
32
19
7
4
0
1
1
0
0
7
2-2
100%
4-11
4-8
36%
49%
3-4
75%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 22.6
35
28
19
15
1
1
1
0
2
3
12
3-4
75%
8-12
6-10
67%
55%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.7
33
34
21
8
1
0
1
0
3
1
7
3-3
100%
6-9
5-9
67%
52%
2-3
67%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 25.9
30
29
24
3
10
1
1
0
2
1
2
5-6
83%
5-7
5-10
71%
50%
3-4
75%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 36.0
18
17
4
0
2
2
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
0-2
0%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 25.0
17
21
8
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-6
1-2
67%
45%
0-1
0%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 19.8
14
10
0
5
1
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.3
13
19
7
7
0
0
0
2
0
3
4
1-2
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
53%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.8
1
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.9
5
0
1-1
48%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.6
4
0
0-1
47%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 33.6
2
0
0-0
50%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 22.9
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 21.9
37
27
12
6
4
2
2
1
2
2
4
6-8
75%
3-7
4-8
43%
50%
0-0
-
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 24.9
35
31
3
7
3
0
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
45%
1-4
25%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 24.8
33
26
22
1
1
2
1
0
3
0
1
8-9
89%
1-3
1-4
33%
40%
4-5
80%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 27.7
31
32
16
4
2
0
1
0
3
0
4
2-2
100%
4-10
5-11
40%
44%
2-4
50%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 32.5
25
18
18
6
1
1
0
0
0
2
4
3-4
75%
6-11
3-6
55%
52%
1-2
50%
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.4
26
19
15
2
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
4-4
100%
4-5
1-2
80%
45%
1-5
20%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.0
17
15
6
2
3
2
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
49%
0-1
0%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 37.0
15
6
10
3
3
3
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-9
1-1
56%
47%
0-0
-
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.6
14
4
7
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
43%
1-3
33%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 29.7
8
3
2
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
45%
0-1
0%
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.0
26
1
3-5
49%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.2
26
1
1-3
46%
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.4
13
0
2-3
53%
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.0
Jahlil Okafor
C · 6'11" 260 · 20.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.