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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 12, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Heat33%98104
8Raptors67%104112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 34.7
43.5
28.9
28
64%
4
5
0
1
0
4
1
3
2-2
100%
7-14
3-6
50%
45%
4-7
57%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 20.0
42.6
28.0
11
51%
5
2
3
1
1
1
0
5
3-4
75%
4-8
2-5
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.9
41.3
31.8
13
34%
7
9
0
1
0
3
0
7
2-2
100%
4-15
5-10
27%
52%
1-3
33%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.9
36.8
32.6
20
50%
5
1
2
1
1
3
2
3
4-5
80%
5-10
4-8
50%
48%
2-8
25%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.3
19.5
16.1
4
41%
5
0
1
0
0
1
3
2
2-2
100%
1-4
3-5
25%
53%
0-0
-
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.7
33.0
29.0
13
47%
11
0
1
1
3
1
6
5
3-4
75%
5-12
6-10
42%
59%
0-0
-
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.5
26.4
26.9
8
48%
3
0
2
1
0
0
2
1
1-3
33%
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
1-2
50%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30.1
21.8
6.2
7
33%
7
2
0
0
0
0
2
5
4-4
100%
0-5
1-1
0%
46%
1-4
25%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 34.1
30.4
1
7-15
48%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 29.0
4.7
0
0-1
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.8
3.1
0
0-1
46%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 32.0
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 23.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 30.0
44.6
36.5
16
43%
7
2
2
2
0
4
1
6
6-6
100%
2-8
4-8
25%
48%
2-8
25%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 26.6
43.2
33.9
38
58%
10
7
2
1
1
3
0
10
12-15
80%
13-24
7-15
54%
47%
0-2
0%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.8
32.4
23.6
20
73%
10
1
0
0
1
1
2
8
6-6
100%
7-11
4-8
64%
57%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.1
21.3
9.1
10
67%
3
2
2
0
0
1
0
3
0-1
0%
5-6
1-2
83%
55%
0-1
0%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 35.9
16.3
15.5
4
50%
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.0
36.8
25.6
9
56%
6
1
0
1
0
0
4
2
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
52%
3-4
75%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.6
30.0
24.7
6
34%
2
2
2
1
3
2
0
2
4-4
100%
1-6
3-6
17%
52%
0-1
0%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 23.5
20.5
22.2
2
57%
4
0
1
0
2
1
0
4
2-4
50%
0-0
2-3
-
54%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 25.1
19.9
23.5
7
60%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
1-2
50%
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 22.8
14.4
1
1-3
45%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 29.6
7.8
0
1-2
48%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.9
3.7
0
0-1
45%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 23.6
2.1
0
0-0
52%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 29.6
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 20.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.