Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Heat	33%	97	104	101.0	103	95.1
	8	Raptors	67%	103	112	108.7	103	91.6

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Joe Johnson G · 6'7" 240 · 35	43.5	28	67%	4	5	0	0	4	5	1	3	2-2	100%	7-14	50%	4-7	57%
Justise Winslow F · 6'7" 225 · 20	42.6	11	50%	5	2	3	1	1	3	0	5	3-4	75%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 30	41.3	13	34%	7	9	0	0	3	4	0	7	2-2	100%	4-15	27%	1-3	33%
Luol Deng F · 6'9" 220 · 31	36.8	20	50%	5	1	2	1	3	4	2	3	4-5	80%	5-10	50%	2-8	25%
Amar'e Stoudemire C · 6'10" 245 · 33	19.5	4	40%	5	0	1	0	1	4	3	2	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-0	-

Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 27	33.0	13	46%	11	0	1	3	1	5	6	5	3-4	75%	5-12	42%	0-0	-
Josh Richardson F · 6'6" 200 · 22	26.4	8	50%	3	0	2	0	0	5	2	1	1-3	33%	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Gerald Green G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30	21.8	7	32%	7	2	0	0	0	0	2	5	4-4	100%	0-5	0%	1-4	25%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Josh McRoberts · 6'10" 240 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 36	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Bosh #1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Tyler Johnson #8 · G · 6'3" 186 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	104	46%	47	19	9	5	13	0	15	32	21-26	81%	28-73	38%	9-25	36%

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14 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Joe Johnson G · 6'7" 240 · 35	43.5	28	67%	4	5	0	0	4	5	1	3	2-2	100%	7-14	50%	4-7	57%
Justise Winslow F · 6'7" 225 · 20	42.6	11	50%	5	2	3	1	1	3	0	5	3-4	75%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 30	41.3	13	34%	7	9	0	0	3	4	0	7	2-2	100%	4-15	27%	1-3	33%
Luol Deng F · 6'9" 220 · 31	36.8	20	50%	5	1	2	1	3	4	2	3	4-5	80%	5-10	50%	2-8	25%
Amar'e Stoudemire C · 6'10" 245 · 33	19.5	4	40%	5	0	1	0	1	4	3	2	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-0	-

Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 27	33.0	13	46%	11	0	1	3	1	5	6	5	3-4	75%	5-12	42%	0-0	-
Josh Richardson F · 6'6" 200 · 22	26.4	8	50%	3	0	2	0	0	5	2	1	1-3	33%	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Gerald Green G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30	21.8	7	32%	7	2	0	0	0	0	2	5	4-4	100%	0-5	0%	1-4	25%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Josh McRoberts · 6'10" 240 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 36	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Bosh #1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Tyler Johnson #8 · G · 6'3" 186 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	104	46%	47	19	9	5	13	0	15	32	21-26	81%	28-73	38%	9-25	36%

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8 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Lowry G · 6'0" 196 · 30	44.6	16	42%	7	2	2	0	4	5	1	6	6-6	100%	2-8	25%	2-8	25%
DeMar DeRozan G · 6'6" 220 · 27	43.2	38	58%	10	7	2	1	3	1	0	10	12-15	80%	13-24	54%	0-2	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas C · 6'11" 265 · 24	32.4	20	71%	10	1	0	1	1	3	2	8	6-6	100%	7-11	64%	0-0	-
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 29	21.3	10	71%	3	2	2	0	1	2	0	3	0-1	0%	5-6	83%	0-1	0%
Luis Scola F · 6'9" 241 · 36	16.3	4	50%	0	2	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Patrick Patterson F · 6'9" 230 · 27	36.8	9	56%	6	1	0	0	0	2	4	2	0-0	-	0-4	0%	3-4	75%
Cory Joseph G · 6'2" 200 · 25	30.0	6	33%	2	2	2	3	2	3	0	2	4-4	100%	1-6	17%	0-1	0%
Bismack Biyombo C · 6'8" 255 · 24	20.5	2	50%	4	0	1	2	1	2	0	4	2-4	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Terrence Ross G-F · 6'7" 206 · 25	19.9	7	58%	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Norman Powell G · 6'4" 215 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jason Thompson F-C · 6'11" 250 · 30	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Delon Wright G · 6'4" 185 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Lucas Nogueira C · 7'0" 220 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
DeMarre Carroll #5 · F · 6'8" 215 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Bruno Caboclo #20 · F · 6'9" 205 · 20	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	112	53%	41	17	10	7	13	0	7	34	32-38	84%	31-66	47%	6-18	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	TOR

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIA

0.93 46.4%

TOR

1.06 52.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

11

29

38%

TOR

18

29

62%

Midrange

MIA

17

44

39%

TOR

13

37

35%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

9

13.5

25

36%

54%

TOR

6

9.0

18

33%

50%

Free Throws

MIA

21

26

81%

TOR

32

38

84%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Johnson	28	67%	14.0 / 21
L. Deng	20	50%	10.0 / 20
G. Dragic	13	34%	6.5 / 19
H. Whiteside	13	46%	6.5 / 14
J. Winslow	11	50%	5.5 / 11
J. Richardson	8	50%	4.0 / 8
G. Green	7	32%	3.5 / 11
A. Stoudemire	4	40%	2.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	38	58%	19.0 / 33
J. Valančiūnas	20	71%	10.0 / 14
K. Lowry	16	42%	8.0 / 19
J. Johnson	10	71%	5.0 / 7
P. Patterson	9	56%	4.5 / 8
T. Ross	7	58%	3.5 / 6
C. Joseph	6	33%	3.0 / 9
L. Scola	4	50%	2.0 / 4
B. Biyombo	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 106.0 4 110.2	MIA 101.0 TOR 108.7 +7.8
Pace	25 93.7 28 92.8	MIA 95.1 +3.5 TOR 91.6
Avg. Poss. Time	4 16.0 3 16.1	MIA 15.1 −0.6 TOR 15.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	11 50.8% 12 50.4%	MIA 42.3% TOR 47.6% +5.3%
TO %	15 14.0% 4 13.0%	MIA 11.3% −0.9% TOR 12.2%
ORB %	16 23.9% 12 24.7%	MIA 30.6% +12.7% TOR 17.9%
FTrt	11 28.2 3 32.8	MIA 26.5 TOR 45.2 +18.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 54.3% 30 51.1%	MIA 51.4% +5.5% TOR 45.9%
STL %	26 7.2% 15 8.3%	MIA 8.7% TOR 9.7% +1.0%
BLK %	1 10.3% 6 9.3%	MIA 7.6% TOR 9.6% +2.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 52.8% 10 53.4%	MIA 46.4% TOR 52.8% +6.4%
Rim FG%	2 62.3% 17 57.2%	MIA 37.9% TOR 62.1% +24.2%
Mid FG%	14 40.5% 26 38.7%	MIA 38.6% +3.5% TOR 35.1%
3P %	27 33.6% 5 37.0%	MIA 36.0% +2.7% TOR 33.3%
FT %	23 74.4% 12 77.7%	MIA 80.8% TOR 84.2% +3.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	11 37.0% 10 37.1%	MIA 29.6% TOR 34.5% +4.9%
Mid Att. %	26 40.9% 13 34.2%	MIA 44.9% TOR 44.0% −0.9%
3P Att. %	27 22.1% 15 28.7%	MIA 25.5% +4.1% TOR 21.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIA	TOR
Possessions	103	103
Possession Minutes	26.0	27.0
Points	104	112
Rebounds	47	41
Assists	19	17
Steals	9	10
Blocks	5	7
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (5)	7 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (5)	34 (7)
Field Goals	37-98	37-84
At-the-Rim FG	11-29	18-29
Midrange FG	17-44	13-37
2-Point FG	28-73	31-66
3-Point FG	9-25	6-18
Free Throws	21-26	32-38
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg